Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x690f3efef310ad9f83a043dfc64e15cea7c961b9b988a25800915f13a0344bfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 5,596$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 3,165$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.57 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 2,699$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.29 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Yes | 76c | 1,968$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 1,276$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.52 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 950.86$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.99 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 78c | 938$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.71 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 25c | 915$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 793$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.62 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 37c | 784.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.14 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 38c | 531$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 78c | 474.08$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.64 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 12c | 455.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 19c | 450$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.86 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 40c | 327.96$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.68 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 19c | 312.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.03 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 57c | 289.1$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…a938backed Yes | 72c | 279.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 233.9$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 29c | 193.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked No | 78c | 190.68$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 30c | 162$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Yes | 65c | 154.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 52c | 149.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 31c | 148.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 21c | 140.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…d522backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 40c | 119.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 45c | 112.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 21c | 109$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 10c | 105$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 101.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…0d50backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 28c | 99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 26c | 95.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 45c | 92.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 47c | 92.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 16c | 90$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 21c | 89.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed No | 42c | 88.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 59c | 84.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 40c | 82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 81.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 22c | 77.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed No | 44c | 68.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 55.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 21c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 20c | 53.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 75c | 53.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…f004backed Yes | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…e3cfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 32c | 48.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 40c | 45.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…71b5backed Yes | 70c | 42.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 53c | 40.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…ca02backed Yes | 76c | 39.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 36.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…0728backed Yes | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74fd…7537backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 70c | 31.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 79c | 24.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…dbcfbacked No | 80c | 19.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…b467backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 62c | 19.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…9e76backed Yes | 65c | 18.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…5818backed No | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…2dd3backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…a4febacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.