South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b309022fb4deb23f7ecbdde5753d6609b6686d0db46138564cd4f543178928
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 12c | 16,018$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,095.67 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 4,058$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.63 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 53c | 3,426$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.73 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,433$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 1,889$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 1,611$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.03 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,212$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.98 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked No | 63c | 1,092$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.33 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 39c | 999.19$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.51 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 39c | 944.04$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 76c | 938.81$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.83 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 61c | 807.01$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.62 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked No | 73c | 488.98$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed No | 61c | 488.3$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 39c | 447.46$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.54 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 11c | 396.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 12c | 378.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.69 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked No | 9c | 283.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 71c | 243.54$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 10c | 225.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +852.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 12c | 201.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 54c | 187.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 54c | 187.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 54c | 187.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 54c | 187.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 54c | 187.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 46c | 168.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…38e7backed Yes | 8c | 165.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 12c | 157.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 32c | 153.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 11c | 151.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 15c | 150.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 51c | 148.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 139.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 12c | 137.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 54c | 128.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 54c | 126.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 13c | 124.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked No | 8c | 121.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 113.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…3885backed Yes | 79c | 93.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 65c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 54c | 79.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 50c | 65.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 47c | 60.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Yes | 41c | 59.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 53c | 42.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…33b1backed Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Yes | 62c | 34.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…1e75backed No | 53c | 33.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 77c | 32.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed No | 54c | 28.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…0faabacked Yes | 40c | 27.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 66c | 26.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…93c6backed No | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…7571backed No | 73c | 24.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 54c | 23.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed No | 68c | 21.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 79c | 21.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 57c | 18.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…0983backed No | 67c | 17.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.