South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391653cd19bb5bc3c63763a62faf185c4934284b8d6df68444c2ac23782bcf10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 1,355$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.03 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 78c | 1,124$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.72 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 932.45$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.47 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 711.12$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 78c | 702.15$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.67 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 645.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.18 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 35c | 516.09$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 493.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 455.5$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Yes | 22c | 281.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 28c | 278.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 268.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 34c | 223.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 76c | 177.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 34c | 169.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 151.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 77c | 149.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 61c | 122.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 112.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 33c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 21c | 95.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 59c | 89.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 76c | 82.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 31c | 80.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 70c | 79.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8615…86babacked Yes | 78c | 77.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 77.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 64c | 75.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…55a6backed Yes | 28c | 67.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 37c | 65.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 66c | 62.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…819fbacked No | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…b8bbbacked Yes | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 21c | 49.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 55c | 43.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…df71backed Yes | 34c | 42.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 57c | 34.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 68c | 33.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 32.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…c154backed No | 67c | 29.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…3885backed Yes | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 26.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 69c | 25.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed No | 49c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 73c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 73c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 73c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 73c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 73c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 73c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked No | 66c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-15?Yes won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.