TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No68c8,831$6,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,004.7418352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes30c6,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.5910846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c4,826$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,270.252,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No67c3,193$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.420046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c2,539$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.028,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee39…8cf1backed Yes26c2,021$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No69c1,472$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.7511245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes34c1,390$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.132,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No70c995$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.510875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes32c931.26$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.21,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes54c899.6$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.635,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes77c641.77$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.421,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes32c625.51$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.561,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes32c600$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4111,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3356643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No76c481.52$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.11,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes33c452.3$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.0414945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes32c426.72$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.233,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes12c426.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.5511717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No70c377.5$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2520055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes37c303.44$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9714022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No70c275.43$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.847758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes73c220.92$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8328651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes24c216.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4825625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No70c209.74$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8257157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc986…1654backed Yes33c191.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.611225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes30c191$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.727349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No73c167.93$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.324461.4%27 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No33c166.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9110249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No35c155.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0244843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes30c152$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.45143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7101…884bbacked Yes32c151.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+119.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d5…b0b8backed Yes16c144.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.13450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+148.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e8…6edabacked No20c142.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.561926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes29c133.8$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5515651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes36c133.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.484129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes13c128.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.882934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No80c124.78$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.281,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e3…e438backed Yes17c111.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+160%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes29c105.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0110031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed No15c104.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0210946.8%51 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c101.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.331,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked No66c100.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.611442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes26c92.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.549535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes75c83.41$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8515158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes49c82.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes58c81.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.131,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e65…b28bbacked No25c79.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.922931%9 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes30c73.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.381,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes30c69.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3719953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes31c65.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.422751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No54c65.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4630847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Yes34c65.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No70c64.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2944959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes30c63.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7127031.5%85 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes32c59.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7719761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes31c59.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8316266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes33c57.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.24126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes32c56.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3210652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes32c55.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.542,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes30c54.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.291,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No71c49.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8823551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75b…4042backed Yes30c48.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes36c48.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7713839.9%55 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes30c47.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5325147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aff…45fbbacked No44c47.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No53c46.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6685220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1276…0845backed No68c43.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No67c41.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9716453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes33c41.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9425864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec71…35dcbacked Yes25c41.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+52.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No70c40.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed No63c39.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1911747.9%56 W · 61 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Yes32c37.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.686756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked No70c36.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.662962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Yes33c35.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.919936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes34c35.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.138439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked No43c28.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.038645.3%39 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed No70c25.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.964271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ad…9a2bbacked No66c22.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.69366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No70c21.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8320958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No74c19.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1213457.5%77 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2996…7571backed No69c14.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes72c13.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.892263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.