South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf965681da53d64ec36ff1672b59f287c9d488dc045d77741248577e3425b4342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 1,449$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.33 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,287$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.15 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 37c | 692.25$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.13 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 657.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 26c | 338.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Yes | 36c | 321.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 267.79$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 262.85$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 55c | 254.47$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 21c | 233.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 54c | 219.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 18c | 208.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 35c | 192.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 189.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 52c | 180.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 66c | 180.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 77c | 162.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 160.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Yes | 29c | 159.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 150.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 60c | 130.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 130.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 64c | 108$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 35c | 101.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 18c | 95.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 37c | 87.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked No | 76c | 77.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 51.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 50.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 48.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 48.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 47.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 48c | 46.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 48c | 46.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 60c | 41.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked No | 57c | 35.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 32.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…35dcbacked No | 59c | 32.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 28.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…726abacked Yes | 40c | 27.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-27?Yes won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.