Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc970c44792b8cc02ea565d85f6a27afc2f0d010f25df650212ec45a28ef13ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 10c | 15,587$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.86 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 2,144$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.9 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 1,435$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.29 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 731.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 695.61$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.73 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 563.21$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 562.08$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 558.13$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 75c | 558$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 79c | 523.12$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 27c | 520$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 78c | 516.31$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Yes | 29c | 451.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 73c | 366$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 76c | 364.25$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 73c | 290.78$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 270.42$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 75c | 267.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 74c | 194.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 30c | 167.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 23c | 150.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed No | 74c | 139.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 135.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 74c | 135.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 23c | 123.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 75c | 103.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 100.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 75c | 82.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 71.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 72c | 69.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 72c | 69.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…10ebbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…aa7dbacked Yes | 24c | 62.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedef…a67ebacked Yes | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 73c | 48.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 75c | 47.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 24c | 45.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…5ee5backed Yes | 26c | 44.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 74c | 43.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 75c | 37.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 74c | 33.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 78c | 20.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…7571backed No | 77c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.