Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea560b41c504bffb2c4d4afee2bfcb5cdd89d628cc452c5e1855b0edbd703ddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 2,682$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.68 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 45c | 1,949$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.98 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 26c | 900$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.25 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 74c | 600$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.2 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…618abacked No | 16c | 600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 16cpaid | +275%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked No | 4c | 557.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 18c | 510.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.42per pick | 16cpaid | +242.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 375.09$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.87 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 10c | 315$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 26c | 300$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 232.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 69c | 190$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 181.87$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 140.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 117.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 28c | 103$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 12c | 88.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 72.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 67.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 63.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 43c | 60.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 20c | 52.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 47.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 65c | 23.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 74c | 13.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.