TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Mavericks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Spurs73c13,164$9,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,491.9534532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Mavericks27c10,144$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.8133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Spurs69c9,000$6,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,79036057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks31c8,311$2,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,576.5633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Mavericks0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Mavericks31c5,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.9928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs70c4,373$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.4988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks25c4,000$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.971,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks32c3,956$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.921,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Spurs67c2,003$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.9924151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs67c1,998$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.561,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Spurs56c1,898$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.3215341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs67c1,865$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.971,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Mavericks33c1,788$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.3517943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Mavericks30c1,766$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.79836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6929…0e4bbacked Spurs68c1,608$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.116253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9dd…a1d9backed Spurs68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks32c1,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Mavericks32c1,499$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.681030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Spurs70c1,437$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.638851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Spurs65c1,288$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.9961345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks4c1,280$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.698783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Spurs66c1,258$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.6623135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs67c1,255$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.8677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Spurs69c1,159$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.429247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks2c1,156$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.515502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Spurs64c1,095$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.9919944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Mavericks1c999.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs71c923.26$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.285,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Spurs67c855.16$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.2537734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Mavericks27c835.68$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Spurs67c799.94$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9850453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks31c783.25$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks31c756.8$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6161835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Mavericks30c750.02$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0129747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…261fbacked Mavericks34c640.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.946129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Spurs70c632.56$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5620153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Spurs68c628.73$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1957760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Mavericks33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Mavericks33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Mavericks34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Spurs69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7114051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Mavericks16c553.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7431125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x537d…bde1backed Mavericks34c552.35$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.84257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Mavericks37c537.84$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19929643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Spurs70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Mavericks33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16545743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Spurs67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16511654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Spurs66c499.99$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16915365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Spurs66c499.95$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Spurs68c499.13$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.724330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mavericks31c477.49$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0220047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Mavericks52c464.49$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4920447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs67c464.05$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Mavericks33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Spurs53c440.81$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20814041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c6…51b1backed Mavericks33c432.88$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.853551.4%18 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks36c363.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e81…650dbacked Spurs68c326.76$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.561060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Spurs68c314.74$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7214845.9%68 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks33c304.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Mavericks33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Mavericks33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019038.4%73 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Mavericks32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d5…fe48backed Mavericks32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02fe…e8b4backed Mavericks32c297.63$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.244040%16 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs69c283.42$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.711,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Spurs66c277.5$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.353554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2f…64e9backed Spurs68c276.6$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.074850%24 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…eb0abacked Spurs67c266.21$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.854158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Mavericks33c263.64$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8717335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d7…dd52backed Mavericks33c257.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.834344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks29c233.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5773647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…7a14backed Mavericks34c226.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x415a…61c9backed Spurs69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ff…d747backed Mavericks24c213.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7470%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3217…2dcebacked Spurs68c210.75$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.443565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d4b…c5d4backed Mavericks33c210.52$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.474553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e2…6c2ebacked Mavericks33c203.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.042646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Spurs68c201$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3211956.3%67 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5b…53b1backed Spurs69c184.36$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.154151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf76…7202backed Mavericks33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ae…5124backed Mavericks55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf8…86fcbacked Mavericks34c177.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.433946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x855a…0985backed Spurs69c173.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.855457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb03…8ba5backed Mavericks32c171.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Mavericks32c165$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.87024.3%17 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…a6bebacked Spurs68c163.31$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.544245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Spurs67c155.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4887647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Spurs68c154$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2816563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f72…4d8ebacked Mavericks33c152$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.163616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Mavericks33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Spurs47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.595848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5156348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd15c…e6e4backed Spurs67c149.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6511256.3%63 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks34c146.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ec…56f4backed Spurs67c145.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.874553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.