TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Ducks, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce29…b71bbacked Blues79c14,375$11,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.451283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks11c8,216$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e77…372bbacked Blues63c7,129$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Ducks11c5,046$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.2532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x242c…c63fbacked Ducks37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blues80c4,652$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.9792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues61c4,643$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.891,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks38c4,454$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.1237738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks0c4,144$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.721,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Blues62c3,204$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.2115261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Ducks39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Ducks39c2,455$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.011,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51be…2b83backed Ducks37c2,129$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Ducks3c2,124$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.986940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks38c2,077$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.21,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Ducks39c1,499$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.611428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e9…0501backed Blues61c1,499$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.611471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Ducks1c1,050$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Ducks40c1,008$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0440%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blues63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks37c920.15$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.4597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ducks37c901.54$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5779251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc824…f574backed Ducks38c900$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Ducks39c883.34$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.58932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf09…651fbacked Blues62c857.83$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Ducks38c678$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6430549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks36c507$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.521,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Ducks38c452.41$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9264242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Blues62c436.52$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.888347%39 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks38c426.04$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Blues62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5813457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Blues62c320.38$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.388870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ducks38c315.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0775155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf823…b083backed Blues63c295.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Ducks41c246.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ducks37c244$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2860549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks28c211.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Ducks39c198$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.226144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d8d…7e4fbacked Ducks39c180.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c6…1335backed Blues60c179$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e24…4bdbbacked Ducks40c179$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks37c169.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7151044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Blues62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2915456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Blues62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2912859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81a…20b2backed Ducks39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks9c151.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.611,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Blues61c143.48$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.962842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ducks8c138.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.153,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Blues63c131$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5320861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Blues60c121.03$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4122842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe634…e098backed Ducks39c116.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9c…5dfbbacked Ducks39c115.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blues62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3835154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Blues62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Blues63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks23c92.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe894…eb63backed Ducks40c87.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee05…c9a1backed Blues62c86.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Blues62c86.31$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.83452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b79…0694backed Blues62c84.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Ducks37c82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3420942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25c9…2c0ebacked Blues62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a8…0f02backed Blues62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccf…34e6backed Blues62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.43571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7d…7765backed Blues62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fd…d22fbacked Ducks38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeef…d4fbbacked Blues63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blues61c79.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…5f89backed Blues62c79.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.045100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+119.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0118…3994backed Ducks39c78.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6901…d7b5backed Blues62c78.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Blues61c68.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3265345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5220…4e88backed Blues62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.523868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Ducks39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Blues63c62.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2911057.3%63 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Ducks39c61.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Ducks38c57.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7811751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Blues78c57.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3897955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Ducks38c53.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.527936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bb0…30d3backed Blues62c51.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fd…d003backed Ducks39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Blues62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b2…78a4backed Ducks37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f38…a1f4backed Blues62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f0…b467backed Ducks38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a3…95debacked Ducks38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe484…0dbdbacked Blues62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+96.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01a8…4934backed Blues63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Ducks38c49.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1916437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7be…1be9backed Ducks39c49.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Ducks39c48.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4137…288ebacked Ducks39c46.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Ducks37c42.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5128440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Blues62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3257238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…62f0backed Blues62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Ducks39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed Ducks39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd273…b678backed Ducks39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ee…b078backed Blues60c38.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1714156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.