NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77d0aeceecdf068962c05c420e396812f2125b3faa78a1b603b127ce0d447b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Capitals | 80c | 26,547$21,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,331.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Sharks | 31c | 20,000$6,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,133.41 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Sharks | 18c | 19,204$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.58 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…f1fdbacked Sharks | 29c | 10,039$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…0f5cbacked Capitals | 71c | 10,020$7,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 69c | 7,800$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 70c | 6,972$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.22 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sharks | 30c | 4,895$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.33 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Sharks | 31c | 3,405$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.54 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 1c | 3,106$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Capitals | 69c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.94 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 69c | 1,652$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.25 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Sharks | 29c | 1,650$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.57 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…6e1fbacked Sharks | 5c | 1,120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 70c | 1,000$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Sharks | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Capitals | 71c | 990$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.1 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Capitals | 71c | 963.52$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.34 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 31c | 821.92$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.35 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Sharks | 31c | 758.06$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Sharks | 30c | 749.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 69c | 731$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Sharks | 31c | 623.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Capitals | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…771ebacked Sharks | 31c | 395.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 72c | 357$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Capitals | 72c | 341.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sharks | 30c | 340$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Capitals | 70c | 330.56$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Capitals | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c6…51b1backed Sharks | 32c | 277.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Capitals | 69c | 256.67$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Sharks | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Capitals | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Sharks | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Capitals | 72c | 194.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…a6bebacked Sharks | 32c | 186.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Capitals | 70c | 177.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Sharks | 6c | 177.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Capitals | 70c | 174.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706d…0f3cbacked Capitals | 69c | 172.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…9d0cbacked Capitals | 69c | 168.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…ea9abacked Capitals | 70c | 161.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…eb0abacked Sharks | 31c | 160.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Capitals | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Capitals | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Capitals | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Capitals | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…89b8backed Capitals | 70c | 138.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…22cfbacked Sharks | 32c | 133.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…a81ebacked Capitals | 69c | 131.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Capitals | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Capitals | 68c | 126.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Capitals | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Sharks | 32c | 106.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks | 12c | 100.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Capitals | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed Capitals | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Capitals | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Capitals | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Sharks | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…639bbacked Sharks | 31c | 99.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 28c | 98.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3b5fbacked Sharks | 32c | 91.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sharks | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7f…186abacked Sharks | 30c | 82.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Capitals | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Sharks | 29c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…2e6dbacked Capitals | 70c | 78.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 69c | 74.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Sharks | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Capitals | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…459fbacked Capitals | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Capitals | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Sharks | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed Sharks | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…30d3backed Sharks | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…8992backed Sharks | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Capitals | 69c | 62.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 74c | 61.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa592…f9aebacked Capitals | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed Capitals | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Capitals | 69c | 59.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Capitals | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2f…64e9backed Capitals | 70c | 57.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc95…b4aebacked Capitals | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…c22dbacked Capitals | 70c | 53.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed Capitals | 69c | 52.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Sharks | 30c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed Sharks | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…c317backed Capitals | 69c | 50.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…c5d4backed Capitals | 70c | 50.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Sharks | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…2f00backed Capitals | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Sharks | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.