NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d5ea27a1dff653ea5266312d38ce1f22eda86d7f5c3ed484894b8859fb781d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nets | 14c | 16,898$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.1 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 13c | 16,335$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.74 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Nets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nets | 14c | 6,414$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Nets | 15c | 5,599$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.85 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Nets | 14c | 4,936$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.04 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nets | 2c | 4,180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks | 79c | 3,151$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.97 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets | 22c | 3,000$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Nets | 4c | 2,843$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Nets | 2c | 2,545$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nets | 1c | 2,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Nets | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Nets | 13c | 1,653$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets | 6c | 1,442$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Nets | 3c | 1,365$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…5c4cbacked Nets | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Nets | 5c | 1,107$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Nets | 14c | 1,099$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Nets | 13c | 870$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nets | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Nets | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Nets | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…ea97backed Nets | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets | 13c | 686.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nets | 13c | 653.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nets | 4c | 532.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nets | 6c | 428.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nets | 12c | 419$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Nets | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbab…583ebacked Nets | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Nets | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…1c68backed Nets | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Nets | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Nets | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Nets | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…8a76backed Nets | 15c | 206.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Nets | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Nets | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…c464backed Nets | 14c | 192.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Nets | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…e3e8backed Nets | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…a741backed Nets | 13c | 169.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nets | 13c | 169.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Nets | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…8ba5backed Nets | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…b04dbacked Nets | 15c | 146.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 143 | 41.3%59 W · 84 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Nets | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…07b0backed Nets | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Nets | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47c…0719backed Nets | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Nets | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Nets | 13c | 128$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b70…788bbacked Nets | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…ed7abacked Nets | 14c | 117.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb7…ae2abacked Nets | 14c | 111.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…9fffbacked Nets | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…6019backed Hawks | 78c | 100.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5b…ceb4backed Nets | 22c | 100.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Nets | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed Nets | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61b3…5cc4backed Nets | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Nets | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Nets | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Nets | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…30d3backed Nets | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nets | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…7217backed Nets | 14c | 76.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…ae49backed Hawks | 79c | 50.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.