NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0bb98c52dbfb225118fe32896a2e7638b0432080eb9ba46c2527e519402ce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 666 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Pacers | 31c | 49,304$15,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,939.87 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 54c | 43,378$23,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,366.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 67c | 33,393$22,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,517.74 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 67c | 17,550$11,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700.55 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 31c | 12,780$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,843.44 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers | 28c | 11,840$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,568.09 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nuggets | 15c | 10,749$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.08 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 52c | 10,353$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,398.03 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 12c | 7,818$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.73 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pacers | 53c | 7,369$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.68 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pacers | 25c | 5,235$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.79 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 12c | 5,076$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.95 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,874$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.35 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pacers | 30c | 4,839$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.3 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,500$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pacers | 13c | 2,602$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.34 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Pacers | 27c | 2,202$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.65 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 74c | 2,034$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pacers | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.94 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers | 18c | 1,908$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.29 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers | 30c | 1,728$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.54 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pacers | 30c | 1,702$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.43 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Nuggets | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 69c | 1,430$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.68 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,400$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,399$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.51 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pacers | 26c | 1,352$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.92 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nuggets | 74c | 1,277$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.72 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nuggets | 69c | 1,191$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.68 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Nuggets | 75c | 1,151$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.7 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed Nuggets | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Nuggets | 79c | 1,038$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.9 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nuggets | 78c | 1,025$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.19 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pacers | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 40c | 1,000$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.92 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Nuggets | 69c | 999.97$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Nuggets | 69c | 975.36$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pacers | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Pacers | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…27abbacked Pacers | 30c | 857.76$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 69c | 805.66$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.17 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Nuggets | 20c | 802.7$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b7…9435backed Nuggets | 42c | 733$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Nuggets | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nuggets | 61c | 686.41$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.65 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 68c | 668.9$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.39 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 69c | 660$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Nuggets | 70c | 634.14$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.33 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Nuggets | 10c | 600$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Pacers | 35c | 594.72$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.72 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Pacers | 19c | 575.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.17 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets | 70c | 575.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Nuggets | 70c | 571.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Pacers | 79c | 556.91$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers | 29c | 546.37$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.92 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets | 66c | 537.36$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.7 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5db…9a74backed Nuggets | 70c | 525$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nuggets | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…7f63backed Pacers | 37c | 508.81$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.41 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Nuggets | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 30c | 473$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.95 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pacers | 29c | 467$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.57 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Nuggets | 70c | 461.41$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nuggets | 68c | 457.38$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.36 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Pacers | 31c | 450$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Pacers | 29c | 449.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.81 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Nuggets | 70c | 439.7$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.14 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Nuggets | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Pacers | 30c | 379.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.46 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pacers | 19c | 372$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.04 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…976cbacked Pacers | 28c | 357.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Nuggets | 72c | 347.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pacers | 25c | 343$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf54…107abacked Nuggets | 70c | 334$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pacers | 42c | 333$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 14c | 330$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pacers | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…0657backed Nuggets | 71c | 309.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Nuggets | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers | 32c | 299.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Nuggets | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Nuggets | 59c | 288.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Nuggets | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Nuggets | 53c | 249.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Nuggets | 58c | 240.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Nuggets | 77c | 226.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…def6backed Pacers | 59c | 219.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Nuggets | 47c | 213.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Nuggets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Nuggets | 69c | 204.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…1baabacked Nuggets | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Pacers | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d8…ddfcbacked Pacers | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.