MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46f790c9a71bc9604e96fe1c9c2dcb23adb1b2d46178bf3fea285ee191fe8d62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $459,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Nationals | 40c | 308,523$124,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,138.2 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Angels | 60c | 76,000$45,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,600 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Angels | 56c | 61,513$34,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,693.65 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Angels | 59c | 58,888$34,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,999.47 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Angels | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Angels | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Angels | 60c | 13,563$8,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,137.54 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 49c | 10,867$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.69 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Angels | 42c | 10,133$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.74 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Angels | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…65d1backed Nationals | 41c | 9,996$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,897.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…5af2backed Angels | 59c | 9,995$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Angels | 61c | 7,423$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.3 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 39c | 7,224$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 60c | 5,600$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.49 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Angels | 15c | 5,357$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.42 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Angels | 59c | 4,990$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.07 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Angels | 52c | 4,824$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.52 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 59c | 4,747$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Angels | 49c | 3,952$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.64 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc985…1e7dbacked Nationals | 71c | 3,621$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.62 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Angels | 57c | 3,570$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.56 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Angels | 36c | 2,997$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Nationals | 30c | 2,729$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Angels | 60c | 2,525$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.99 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 67c | 2,493$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.55 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…7e7fbacked Nationals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Angels | 62c | 1,913$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.72 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Nationals | 40c | 1,821$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Nationals | 46c | 1,806$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.39 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Nationals | 61c | 1,641$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.19 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Angels | 60c | 1,561$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Angels | 59c | 1,475$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.25 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Nationals | 68c | 1,421$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.09 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Angels | 62c | 1,281$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.51 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Angels | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Nationals | 21c | 1,218$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.03 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Nationals | 35c | 1,207$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.74 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281b…0d88backed Angels | 60c | 1,050$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…3260backed Nationals | 54c | 1,032$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nationals | 42c | 1,023$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.48 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Angels | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Nationals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Angels | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Angels | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nationals | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7429…247cbacked Angels | 60c | 950$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 48c | 902.96$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.71 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Angels | 32c | 890.86$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Angels | 59c | 890$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 40c | 810.27$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Angels | 43c | 698.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Nationals | 40c | 690$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Angels | 62c | 640.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Nationals | 36c | 517.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.03 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Angels | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 67c | 497.17$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Angels | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Nationals | 67c | 485.43$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.05 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Nationals | 42c | 480.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.29 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Nationals | 21c | 479.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.41 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Angels | 59c | 470.59$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Angels | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Nationals | 60c | 428.95$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.58 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Angels | 73c | 380.04$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.43 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…f924backed Nationals | 68c | 372.63$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Angels | 51c | 350$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Angels | 51c | 342$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.11 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 53c | 339.55$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Nationals | 60c | 333.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Angels | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Angels | 61c | 320$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Angels | 58c | 314.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.54 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 40c | 303.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels | 61c | 298.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.95 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Nationals | 62c | 277.42$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Nationals | 39c | 260.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 37c | 250.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Angels | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Angels | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Nationals | 28c | 231.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 52c | 224.03$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Nationals | 80c | 214.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Nationals | 72c | 207.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 40c | 200.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Angels | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Angels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Angels | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Angels | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…631abacked Angels | 55c | 161.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 19c | 160.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Angels | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 23c | 146$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Angels | 47c | 141.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 11c | 139.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Angels | 60c | 135$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Nationals | 42c | 133.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.