NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3891342f8192665d2ab1148b953deef0bd0f829ed7e4fe7e9d0361e37e0e403
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Bucks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $601,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $606,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,011 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Pacers | 43c | 25,399$10,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,514.4 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 48c | 21,570$10,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,444.51 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Bucks | 46c | 21,388$9,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.03 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 43c | 16,405$7,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,376.11 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 51c | 16,352$8,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,368.19 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pacers | 56c | 15,595$8,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,793.71 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pacers | 47c | 14,626$6,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,789.84 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Pacers | 53c | 11,161$5,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,256.94 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pacers | 47c | 10,074$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,341.23 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 55c | 7,829$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.19 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Bucks | 53c | 6,958$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.73 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 51c | 6,902$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.91 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Bucks | 57c | 6,743$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.47 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bucks | 38c | 6,319$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.91 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 45c | 6,000$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.33 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Pacers | 41c | 5,769$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.26 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Bucks | 48c | 5,482$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Pacers | 49c | 4,767$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Bucks | 47c | 4,490$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Bucks | 51c | 4,160$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.6 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…52a2backed Pacers | 51c | 3,821$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers | 51c | 3,649$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.44 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…8e88backed Bucks | 56c | 3,580$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bucks | 48c | 3,227$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.29 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pacers | 52c | 3,208$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pacers | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks | 47c | 2,974$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.02 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 56c | 2,911$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.87 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks | 51c | 2,460$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.2 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pacers | 50c | 2,444$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.4 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Pacers | 43c | 2,412$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.09 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Pacers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bucks | 56c | 2,161$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.81 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Bucks | 9c | 2,086$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.46 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 49c | 2,068$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Pacers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Bucks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Pacers | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bucks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Bucks | 36c | 1,967$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Bucks | 38c | 1,907$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pacers | 44c | 1,813$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.43 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Pacers | 40c | 1,790$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.89 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…ed59backed Bucks | 60c | 1,762$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Pacers | 76c | 1,711$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.73 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 28c | 1,695$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 49c | 1,669$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.04 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bucks | 50c | 1,650$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.98 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Bucks | 49c | 1,618$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.58 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 58c | 1,590$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.86 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Bucks | 45c | 1,569$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.31 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Bucks | 52c | 1,557$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 43c | 1,464$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.36 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 53c | 1,453$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.2 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Pacers | 57c | 1,402$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.43 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Pacers | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Bucks | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bucks | 55c | 1,300$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Bucks | 54c | 1,300$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Pacers | 25c | 1,290$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bucks | 25c | 1,282$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.73 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Pacers | 75c | 1,237$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.25 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Bucks | 4c | 1,234$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Bucks | 74c | 1,221$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Bucks | 45c | 1,216$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.01 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…1846backed Pacers | 43c | 1,209$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.03 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…4c3cbacked Pacers | 44c | 1,203$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Pacers | 18c | 1,199$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.04 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Bucks | 39c | 1,191$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.75 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b80…d504backed Pacers | 45c | 1,188$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3310…2f4abacked Pacers | 45c | 1,177$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Bucks | 46c | 1,092$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Bucks | 31c | 1,061$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.01 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Pacers | 48c | 1,032$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Pacers | 72c | 1,030$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.33 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,010$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.6 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Bucks | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Bucks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7a…8b82backed Pacers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Bucks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Pacers | 45c | 935.62$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.84 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pacers | 45c | 909.59$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.27 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks | 53c | 908.85$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.68 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Bucks | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bucks | 55c | 840$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Bucks | 51c | 835.23$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Pacers | 42c | 830$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.6 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bucks | 47c | 800$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.5 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers | 42c | 799.57$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea70…3c44backed Bucks | 56c | 755.36$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers | 54c | 746.57$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.76 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Pacers | 77c | 738.62$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.29 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bucks | 54c | 736.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Pacers | 49c | 736.94$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.84 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers | 52c | 729.83$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.73 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Pacers | 71c | 705.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.63 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Bucks | 56c | 703.94$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.88 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Bucks | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.