TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof White Sox, Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$511,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$514,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed White Sox30c414,459$125,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,253.0212043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Mariners70c184,700$129,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,41022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners70c52,388$36,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,716.4835952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners70c43,065$29,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,119.5944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners69c36,159$25,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,104.5238751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Mariners70c28,037$19,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,410.9750852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Mariners70c16,275$11,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.616258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners69c14,259$9,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,420.421,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners69c10,500$7,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2551,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox19c10,036$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.1695930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked White Sox30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners70c9,731$6,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.326355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked White Sox30c5,055$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.55947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e28…9bc8backed Mariners70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners70c4,624$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.442,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8867…4bb7backed Mariners70c3,494$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.081770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Mariners70c3,227$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.15851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Mariners70c2,950$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88515944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed White Sox31c2,401$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox1c2,340$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.054754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed White Sox21c2,240$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.4631248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox5c2,240$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.932,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814a…ab7abacked Mariners70c2,070$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Mariners70c2,037$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.881770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed White Sox29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners70c1,948$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.4543247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Mariners69c1,891$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.4454345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ba…e33abacked White Sox31c1,799$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners78c1,785$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2721767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Mariners70c1,600$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48015942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox4c1,550$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Mariners69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46514446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed White Sox9c1,478$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13327213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…62f0backed Mariners70c1,400$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa24…3d23backed Mariners70c1,400$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed White Sox30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed White Sox20c1,184$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.117833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox5c1,112$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.981,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed White Sox26c1,080$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.818837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mariners69c1,055$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3275,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked White Sox30c999.94$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9831347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed Mariners70c950$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Mariners71c781.41$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.395667.9%38 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox8c757.14$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c53…30cdbacked Mariners70c750$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed White Sox31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18633845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners74c574$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.792754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed White Sox30c516.11$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8333140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Mariners70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Mariners70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15040548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8665…85ecbacked Mariners71c494.05$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.051668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44e…40b6backed Mariners70c450$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Mariners70c437.01$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.138249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed White Sox30c432.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.031,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419d…7817backed Mariners70c427.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.392661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox31c419$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.891,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Mariners70c401.98$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5916551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed White Sox30c399.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox29c381.78$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7251347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox29c354.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.941,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed White Sox10c353.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.95028%14 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed White Sox30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mariners70c314.29$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked White Sox31c313.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9631244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed White Sox17c305.39$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0738444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Mariners71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8791749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd7d…4d56backed White Sox30c288$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox16c285$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.145749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Mariners71c283.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.578052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mariners70c252.86$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8634264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed White Sox33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.55750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked White Sox7c249.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24126.8%11 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Mariners69c242.85$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners70c241$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.32,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2b…f218backed White Sox31c235.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.853871.1%27 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked White Sox22c213.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4866645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Mariners70c206.96$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0924040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mariners76c200$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe362…602bbacked White Sox31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mariners69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6230850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x113b…70b5backed Mariners70c182.56$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.862740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e1c…6962backed White Sox30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Mariners70c175.56$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6711748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d70…120abacked White Sox30c170$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2348…0d55backed White Sox31c169.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.63250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd6…41e7backed White Sox30c166.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1078…a7aebacked White Sox31c163.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.353441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e61…a88abacked White Sox31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507350.7%37 W · 36 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4dd…19fcbacked White Sox30c160$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed White Sox8c157.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0832832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a5…3120backed White Sox31c154.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.262653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed White Sox30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4566751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad26…981dbacked Mariners70c143.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.172846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Mariners70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8656351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Mariners70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8621242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8614753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Mariners70c142.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3212459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.