NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd597c6375aca1cc815a1632f866f8e644d9f883d167e651bf3c9ed54651ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $924,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,019,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $924,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Thunder | 1c | 241,994$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.39 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Nuggets | 23c | 119,845$28,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,808.49 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Thunder | 76c | 73,191$55,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,622.58 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Nuggets | 24c | 63,536$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,285.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 77c | 61,333$47,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,367.86 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Thunder | 48c | 27,543$13,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,137.1 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 21c | 18,220$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,407.2 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Thunder | 58c | 16,645$9,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,603.14 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 57c | 15,805$9,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,008.99 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 77c | 15,328$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Nuggets | 26c | 14,757$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,873.07 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 23c | 12,178$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,343 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73eb…a451backed Thunder | 70c | 11,909$8,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,336.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Nuggets | 24c | 10,908$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,289.9 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Nuggets | 32c | 8,526$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.94 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 59c | 8,000$4,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.49 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4d8ebacked Thunder | 1c | 7,479$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Thunder | 77c | 6,979$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 73c | 6,027$4,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420.79 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Thunder | 31c | 5,799$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.27 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Thunder | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 20c | 4,471$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.88 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Nuggets | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 76c | 3,922$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.69 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 43c | 3,507$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Thunder | 77c | 3,269$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.37 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Thunder | 79c | 3,132$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.82 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Thunder | 76c | 3,051$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.61 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Thunder | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 42c | 2,627$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.19 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Nuggets | 75c | 2,363$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.54 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 77c | 2,360$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.15 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Thunder | 78c | 2,313$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.73 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 24c | 2,284$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.05 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Thunder | 13c | 2,262$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 75c | 2,222$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Nuggets | 24c | 2,204$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.17 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Nuggets | 21c | 2,199$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.98 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Thunder | 76c | 2,100$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f57…cdacbacked Thunder | 77c | 2,078$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Thunder | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…3f85backed Nuggets | 24c | 1,991$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder | 79c | 1,984$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.1 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Thunder | 37c | 1,930$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.17 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Nuggets | 22c | 1,897$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.66 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…497bbacked Nuggets | 23c | 1,859$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Thunder | 70c | 1,709$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.47 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Thunder | 77c | 1,707$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.72 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Thunder | 76c | 1,673$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.17 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Thunder | 21c | 1,600$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 64c | 1,500$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.5 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Nuggets | 24c | 1,458$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.33 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Thunder | 75c | 1,438$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.73 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Nuggets | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,304$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.69 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,273$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.43 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Thunder | 76c | 1,272$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.82 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 75c | 1,265$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.59 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Thunder | 5c | 1,223$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Thunder | 76c | 1,100$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.99 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Thunder | 49c | 1,058$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Thunder | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…43fbbacked Thunder | 76c | 1,011$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Thunder | 76c | 1,003$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Nuggets | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Nuggets | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nuggets | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Thunder | 76c | 1,000$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 78c | 987$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.86 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 75c | 970$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Nuggets | 23c | 960.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.31 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Thunder | 74c | 950$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.5 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Nuggets | 23c | 944.93$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.34 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 75c | 940$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Thunder | 73c | 888.77$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.21 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Thunder | 77c | 870.13$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…4b76backed Thunder | 76c | 860$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Nuggets | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder | 76c | 821$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.96 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Thunder | 76c | 804.33$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.32 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 20c | 803.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Thunder | 76c | 792$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.67 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Thunder | 76c | 720$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Thunder | 4c | 719.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Thunder | 78c | 705.6$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.07 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed Nuggets | 77c | 676.25$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c8dbacked Thunder | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Thunder | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 53c | 623.51$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.78 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Thunder | 25c | 616$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.23 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Thunder | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…87ecbacked Thunder | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Thunder | 75c | 590.01$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Thunder | 76c | 572.2$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.87 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Thunder | 39c | 570$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…06fabacked Thunder | 76c | 527$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Thunder | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Thunder | 80c | 502.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.