NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eb9b70136c2d974cdbe06e41da101921177a95cf16c35a83c061c6ed361c4e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bruins | 33c | 21,184$7,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,040.67 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Capitals | 67c | 13,057$8,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.91 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Capitals | 66c | 12,821$8,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.24 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Bruins | 34c | 11,862$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.3 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Capitals | 69c | 7,273$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.55 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Bruins | 33c | 6,630$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.29 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Capitals | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Bruins | 33c | 2,659$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins | 32c | 2,417$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.93 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Capitals | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bruins | 31c | 1,500$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.34 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Bruins | 31c | 1,441$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.7 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bruins | 32c | 1,201$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.21 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bruins | 33c | 1,057$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.73 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bruins | 9c | 1,016$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Capitals | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Bruins | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 67c | 956.57$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.56 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bruins | 32c | 947.7$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Capitals | 68c | 808.65$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.77 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bruins | 31c | 776$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.56 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…0ed4backed Capitals | 68c | 730.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Bruins | 32c | 618$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Capitals | 67c | 609.97$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Bruins | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 27c | 597.66$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Bruins | 15c | 550$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Bruins | 33c | 497$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bruins | 35c | 400.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Capitals | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Capitals | 68c | 311$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Bruins | 32c | 306.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 67c | 303.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Bruins | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Bruins | 22c | 251.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Bruins | 31c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 67c | 249.95$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bruins | 31c | 238.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Bruins | 32c | 238.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Capitals | 67c | 231.37$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Bruins | 44c | 227.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…40b7backed Capitals | 67c | 206.21$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bruins | 8c | 204.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Capitals | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Capitals | 68c | 163.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…6fdbbacked Capitals | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Capitals | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…51efbacked Bruins | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed Capitals | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1364…d17fbacked Capitals | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Capitals | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Capitals | 64c | 148.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Capitals | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bruins | 31c | 129$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Capitals | 74c | 122.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Capitals | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Capitals | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bruins | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Capitals | 68c | 100.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Capitals | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Bruins | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Capitals | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Bruins | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…18b7backed Bruins | 33c | 95.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Capitals | 68c | 90.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Capitals | 68c | 89.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Capitals | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Capitals | 66c | 89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Capitals | 68c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…da59backed Bruins | 33c | 87.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…1148backed Bruins | 33c | 86.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Bruins | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Capitals | 68c | 83.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bruins | 31c | 82.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bruins | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Capitals | 67c | 77.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1935backed Bruins | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Capitals | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed Bruins | 33c | 69.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…30d3backed Capitals | 69c | 69.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…e369backed Capitals | 68c | 64.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…466fbacked Capitals | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Capitals | 75c | 59.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Capitals | 67c | 59.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…0644backed Bruins | 34c | 58.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Capitals | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Capitals | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…cd97backed Capitals | 67c | 58.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…c1cbbacked Bruins | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Capitals | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed Bruins | 23c | 55.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…a5f0backed Bruins | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…8a0cbacked Capitals | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Capitals | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…67fcbacked Bruins | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…2f00backed Capitals | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Capitals | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.