NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f84d0d448fa8df7421eae539e58f3cd67429e92ea838c4daf772c6a61e9e33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Wizards | 24c | 50,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…3f02backed Heat | 76c | 50,000$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Wizards | 0c | 15,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 8c | 7,223$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.63 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 20c | 6,990$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.64 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 22c | 6,720$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.58 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Wizards | 20c | 6,362$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.39 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 6c | 6,173$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 22c | 5,411$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.91 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards | 23c | 4,239$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.61 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…64febacked Heat | 80c | 4,175$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Wizards | 21c | 4,110$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.08 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Heat | 80c | 4,021$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.32 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Heat | 76c | 3,975$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.69 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Heat | 78c | 3,749$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.39 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 11c | 3,412$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.05 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Heat | 78c | 3,000$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 2c | 2,971$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 22c | 2,860$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.79 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Heat | 78c | 2,569$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.71 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 24c | 2,468$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.4 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 20c | 2,205$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.93 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Heat | 79c | 2,003$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.03 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 77c | 1,874$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.89 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Heat | 80c | 1,792$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.35 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Wizards | 27c | 1,701$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.2 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Heat | 78c | 1,505$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Wizards | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Wizards | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 3c | 1,390$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Wizards | 24c | 1,289$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Wizards | 21c | 1,263$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.22 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wizards | 24c | 1,143$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.8 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 79c | 1,127$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Wizards | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Wizards | 22c | 805.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Wizards | 24c | 770.79$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Heat | 78c | 760.52$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards | 9c | 729.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 78c | 685.44$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Heat | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Heat | 76c | 656.11$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Heat | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Heat | 78c | 620.49$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wizards | 24c | 605.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Wizards | 22c | 599.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 77c | 599.98$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 2c | 597.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Wizards | 21c | 500.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Heat | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…ef73backed Wizards | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Heat | 77c | 499.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Wizards | 23c | 488.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Heat | 79c | 466$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Heat | 76c | 449.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Heat | 79c | 411.59$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…59c8backed Wizards | 23c | 406.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…3e55backed Wizards | 20c | 324.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Heat | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Wizards | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Heat | 77c | 266.23$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Wizards | 17c | 264.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…b4debacked Wizards | 24c | 255.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Wizards | 21c | 249.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…b7b8backed Wizards | 22c | 248.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…80a0backed Wizards | 18c | 244.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Heat | 79c | 242.76$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e72…2237backed Wizards | 23c | 241.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Heat | 76c | 229.38$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cb…1babbacked Wizards | 24c | 221.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Wizards | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 24c | 205.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Heat | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Heat | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64cb…e7f5backed Wizards | 22c | 199.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0924…e953backed Wizards | 17c | 196.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…c879backed Heat | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbb…e711backed Wizards | 22c | 181.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…4e3cbacked Wizards | 22c | 168.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5b0bbacked Heat | 79c | 164.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Wizards | 20c | 159.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…7f85backed Wizards | 22c | 159$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…ae78backed Wizards | 27c | 158.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed Heat | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Heat | 78c | 154.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…cd97backed Wizards | 23c | 153.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…bb88backed Heat | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Wizards | 23c | 152.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Heat | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…8fd7backed Wizards | 22c | 146.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…75bdbacked Wizards | 22c | 146.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…d1ddbacked Wizards | 22c | 139.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…4293backed Wizards | 22c | 135.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.