TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Warriors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$596,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$605,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $596,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb00f…db97backed Warriors60c214,845$128,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,906.874533.3%15 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Spurs36c189,762$68,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,435.4310357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Spurs15c41,701$6,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,564.8512938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Spurs40c40,000$15,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,026.8229738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Spurs8c31,120$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,737.0928241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs9c20,150$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,285.491,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs31c18,447$5,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,691.741,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Spurs19c15,213$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,280.384062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+52%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Spurs9c10,896$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,959.8828341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf508…265cbacked Spurs33c9,775$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,518.734484.1%37 W · 7 L+9.7wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Spurs4c9,107$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,707.3626431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs18c9,063$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,414.8788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Warriors70c8,832$6,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,155.9348046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Spurs7c8,774$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,159.4227731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Warriors0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Spurs9c4,444$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.4429643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs24c3,607$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.2770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Spurs8c3,110$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.694918.4%9 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Spurs10c3,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs20c2,460$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.911,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Spurs8c2,439$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.921,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d79…4725backed Spurs10c2,107$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.021421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs9c2,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.911,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Spurs5c1,675$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.3836514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Spurs28c1,586$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.813852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Spurs40c1,507$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.4725939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Spurs4c1,500$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43431125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs6c1,428$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.988783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Spurs7c1,416$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.8325833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs7c1,358$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.961,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc66e…c228backed Warriors75c1,337$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Spurs4c1,200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1561234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Spurs9c1,145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.9312941.9%54 W · 75 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Spurs18c1,132$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.1949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Spurs10c1,131$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.6710837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Spurs9c1,111$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.1111140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ea97backed Spurs9c1,111$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.111631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Spurs71c1,060$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3528347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Warriors1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1524423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Spurs37c1,000$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62919448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs8c999.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9832130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Spurs8c999.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9550453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4a…8d4dbacked Spurs10c800$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+400%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Spurs9c678.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.5737011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Spurs31c647.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.534852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Spurs24c632.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.8823646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…c4d4backed Spurs14c581.96$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Spurs10c581.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.8119419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Spurs3c558.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.1915724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Spurs9c504$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.724841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Spurs11c500$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Warriors78c499.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3905156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Warriors80c475.89$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38084957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Spurs7c444$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.0368642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Spurs9c410$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.110428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Spurs19c390.39$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.394531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf391…73c3backed Spurs8c372.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.043953.8%21 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+63.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Warriors74c350$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2558754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Spurs14c347.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2425845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3095…b2a6backed Spurs22c338.34$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.344440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Spurs14c323.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.746429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99b4…f541backed Spurs31c321.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.542025%5 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Spurs34c316.2$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8320756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d92…83efbacked Spurs21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.251631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Spurs11c295$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.9620031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Warriors78c293.05$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0636356.5%205 W · 158 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…3917backed Spurs11c281.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.824022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7920…74bdbacked Spurs9c277.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+270.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a9…3c84backed Spurs9c277.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+344.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Spurs7c276.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Spurs40c264.25$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5715646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Spurs8c250$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23063445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3a…0898backed Spurs8c237.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+125.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Spurs40c233.5$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.19444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1b…75d8backed Spurs43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.567653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b0…c712backed Spurs9c222.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.221936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+71.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Spurs9c222.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2229450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9011…311cbacked Spurs9c222.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+455.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Warriors14c217.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.351,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Spurs7c206.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1630243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a4c…0e84backed Spurs10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623e…921abacked Spurs9c188.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+312%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Spurs7c188.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3365726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Spurs9c180.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8167911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Spurs7c170.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0273445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b62…7f5ebacked Spurs18c166.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.64560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+110.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Spurs13c165.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0519451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs9c164.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2485542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Spurs9c160$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.62,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b0…19f2backed Spurs9c150.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.01850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+107.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bcf…76e3backed Spurs7c149.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.995127.5%14 W · 37 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+97.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f6f…9c65backed Spurs14c147.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.451546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+75.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Spurs18c128$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3711753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Warriors74c127.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9534548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Spurs8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11585248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd07f…6c05backed Spurs10c120$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084025%10 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Spurs21c116.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.624158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf65…45d7backed Spurs10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906233.9%21 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ad…f5efbacked Spurs10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.