NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7884b716710699fbdef8f9e4508ed5b5b5f259fc53c39333d670d7239961259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Kraken, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Kraken | 41c | 11,524$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,708.33 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wild | 59c | 10,451$6,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.87 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 40c | 6,372$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.06 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 58c | 3,554$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.68 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 2c | 3,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Kraken | 42c | 2,849$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.46 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Kraken | 39c | 2,303$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.26 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Kraken | 41c | 2,272$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.8 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Wild | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Kraken | 40c | 1,907$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.8 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kraken | 3c | 1,860$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Kraken | 12c | 1,688$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Wild | 62c | 1,653$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Kraken | 38c | 1,650$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Wild | 62c | 1,602$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.56 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Wild | 60c | 1,502$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Kraken | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken | 41c | 1,266$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.22 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Kraken | 7c | 1,015$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wild | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Wild | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wild | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Kraken | 41c | 986.05$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wild | 67c | 962.28$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.46 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 38c | 835.1$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.65 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…932cbacked Wild | 60c | 698.5$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Wild | 61c | 655.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.68 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wild | 59c | 649.44$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.27 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wild | 61c | 647$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 39c | 609$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.13 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kraken | 38c | 590.04$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 5c | 588.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild | 60c | 585$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Wild | 60c | 582.22$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.89 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Wild | 61c | 488.82$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…35adbacked Kraken | 39c | 481.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Wild | 61c | 475$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 57c | 443.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Wild | 62c | 430.4$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.55 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Wild | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Wild | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…6334backed Wild | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Wild | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Kraken | 21c | 334.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Wild | 61c | 327.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Wild | 61c | 325.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Wild | 60c | 290.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Wild | 68c | 288.51$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Wild | 61c | 278.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…bef4backed Kraken | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2e…6f06backed Wild | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Wild | 61c | 246.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kraken | 8c | 230.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8b…db46backed Kraken | 41c | 224$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1559…ec6dbacked Wild | 59c | 224$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Wild | 60c | 222$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 38c | 221.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…7e4fbacked Kraken | 42c | 194.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…73cdbacked Kraken | 42c | 179.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e20…379fbacked Wild | 59c | 178$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7c…3886backed Kraken | 41c | 178$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Wild | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Wild | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Wild | 61c | 164.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Wild | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801c…a025backed Wild | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…3869backed Kraken | 39c | 158.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1844…3cedbacked Wild | 59c | 156$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6c…ae7ebacked Kraken | 41c | 156$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wild | 60c | 143.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…81a0backed Kraken | 41c | 143$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…ba82backed Wild | 59c | 143$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Kraken | 8c | 141.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…bd86backed Kraken | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed1…49babacked Wild | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…b489backed Wild | 60c | 133.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…1a2dbacked Kraken | 41c | 133$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…6ba3backed Wild | 59c | 133$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…c104backed Kraken | 40c | 132.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Kraken | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca6…8d37backed Kraken | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Wild | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eef…7b31backed Wild | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Kraken | 39c | 129.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…0694backed Kraken | 39c | 125.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd081…adc4backed Kraken | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c0…0814backed Wild | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…879dbacked Kraken | 41c | 121.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2b…0520backed Kraken | 40c | 120.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Kraken | 41c | 107.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Wild | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Kraken | 41c | 100.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wild | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb24…991bbacked Kraken | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…e5a3backed Wild | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Wild | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Wild | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wild | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.