NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bacc84eb3287f4d1346e7391331e760d81f3905159830badca51106df6054fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,127,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,166,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,127,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 551 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Nuggets | 41c | 112,776$45,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,014.07 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Nuggets | 69c | 100,765$69,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,569.44 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 15c | 68,013$10,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,201.9 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Warriors | 59c | 42,201$24,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,899.99 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Warriors | 71c | 31,261$22,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,237.96 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Warriors | 46c | 27,140$12,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,493.06 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 66c | 24,802$16,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,338.14 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Warriors | 37c | 20,088$7,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,337.51 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 60c | 20,000$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,899.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 19,444$9,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,039.9 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 17c | 18,064$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.05 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Nuggets | 65c | 17,541$11,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,226.71 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors | 50c | 16,480$8,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,164.18 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Warriors | 45c | 15,983$7,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,192.35 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…5a31backed Nuggets | 49c | 15,196$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,795.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…0c29backed Warriors | 52c | 13,302$6,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,914.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…be0ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 13,242$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 24c | 13,096$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,913.58 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Nuggets | 32c | 12,962$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,873.96 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1d…a4e1backed Warriors | 61c | 12,868$7,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Nuggets | 74c | 10,685$7,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.24 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 39c | 10,000$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946.26 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…a94dbacked Nuggets | 73c | 9,091$6,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Warriors | 61c | 9,000$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.96 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f140backed Warriors | 14c | 8,192$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Nuggets | 16c | 7,247$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,087.3 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Warriors | 63c | 6,874$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.49 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Warriors | 47c | 6,865$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.71 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Nuggets | 30c | 6,808$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.38 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors | 74c | 6,735$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.76 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a22…0bb4backed Nuggets | 39c | 6,550$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Nuggets | 39c | 6,412$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.44 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…38ecbacked Nuggets | 39c | 6,313$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,190$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.7 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Nuggets | 41c | 6,017$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.7 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 67c | 5,913$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.3 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Warriors | 22c | 5,656$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.74 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 62c | 5,600$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.92 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Warriors | 60c | 5,461$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.6 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Warriors | 52c | 5,133$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.52 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Nuggets | 46c | 4,937$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.83 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Nuggets | 21c | 4,665$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.56 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 66c | 4,554$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.69 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Warriors | 63c | 4,500$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.12 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Nuggets | 18c | 4,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nuggets | 54c | 4,287$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.72 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Warriors | 55c | 4,000$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.43 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Nuggets | 40c | 3,744$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.4 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 57c | 3,605$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.15 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors | 67c | 3,543$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.55 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Nuggets | 40c | 3,158$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.86 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nuggets | 60c | 3,100$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Warriors | 74c | 3,097$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.04 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,963$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Nuggets | 59c | 2,946$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.67 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Warriors | 59c | 2,830$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Warriors | 55c | 2,800$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,749$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.3 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 31c | 2,673$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.16 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Warriors | 60c | 2,628$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.8 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Nuggets | 33c | 2,526$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.07 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,474$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.64 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Warriors | 61c | 2,415$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.29 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Warriors | 56c | 2,333$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.06 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Warriors | 60c | 2,332$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.39 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nuggets | 18c | 2,270$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.1 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 44c | 2,247$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nuggets | 37c | 2,131$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.56 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,126$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.93 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Nuggets | 20c | 2,057$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.17 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Nuggets | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 30c | 1,992$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.34 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Warriors | 31c | 1,912$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Nuggets | 68c | 1,912$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Warriors | 60c | 1,862$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.15 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Warriors | 14c | 1,860$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Nuggets | 70c | 1,806$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Nuggets | 33c | 1,794$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.97 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 62c | 1,789$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.23 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Nuggets | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 50c | 1,700$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.45 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Warriors | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,692$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.57 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Nuggets | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.67 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 25c | 1,653$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.97 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Warriors | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Warriors | 75c | 1,605$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.1 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors | 63c | 1,588$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Nuggets | 39c | 1,577$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.67 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Warriors | 60c | 1,570$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.34 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Warriors | 61c | 1,562$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.31 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets | 26c | 1,551$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.61 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Nuggets | 74c | 1,549$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.74 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Warriors | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Nuggets | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Warriors | 62c | 1,499$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.