TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes30c150,999$45,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,299.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No70c134,920$94,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,476.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No70c20,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9912269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4bd3…8ce0backed Yes29c9,996$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…a36fbacked No71c9,989$7,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Yes30c7,333$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.01520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae4…9188backed Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No65c3,243$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.9812243.4%53 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1004…e818backed No71c2,800$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes18c2,555$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.058129.6%24 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No71c2,500$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7252268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Yes41c2,127$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef8…dce7backed Yes29c1,800$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc3…d062backed Yes29c1,700$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1080…b86ebacked Yes30c1,676$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+103%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d0…c293backed Yes32c1,591$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes29c1,468$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No70c1,071$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.294235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes28c1,015$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.281741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29016242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes27c957.97$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.654341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes30c951.67$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes28c900$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25290%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No70c862.54$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7633055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes30c723.4$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0250%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked No71c699.96$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc48…6dcdbacked Yes30c655.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yes27c637.38$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes24c565.17$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes30c505.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe36e…a46cbacked No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes28c493.13$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.085269.2%36 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x545f…6a03backed Yes30c430$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No67c424.77$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.529961.6%61 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes26c399.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked No61c399.98$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6a…bee7backed No74c363.7$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes29c350$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.570%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa584…6187backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No70c332.17$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.173066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes29c314.28$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.144257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…26ecbacked Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No71c299.98$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.993351.5%17 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick62cpaid0%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e9c…1115backed Yes31c271.43$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a16…496fbacked Yes30c233.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No70c216.83$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.054360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e4…02a8backed Yes30c216.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff60…83c0backed No73c203.59$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes29c168.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcac…019fbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4292…9cd8backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes15c149.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cc2…76c7backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df2…7485backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf652…9351backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes29c118.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed No71c108.53$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.963100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe492…dc86backed No71c107.56$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10c0…ce55backed Yes32c105.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1680…3ac0backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf9…cfe5backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670c…d5fabacked Yes35c102.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b0…f22ebacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc190…b3aebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f94…9a4abacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65eb…7206backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1a…13f3backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes28c90.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4aa…9026backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Yes29c78.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.951233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…eb53backed No71c77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d89…25cdbacked Yes29c77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce6…107cbacked Yes34c71.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7e…474ebacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda0b…bc40backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0595…e884backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Yes30c66.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb97…1aa0backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…737dbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…aed5backed Yes31c64.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes32c62.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked No71c61.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.981788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+31%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.618749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No72c57.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.052360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1024…8fd1backed No72c56.94$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…7d49backed Yes30c56.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.