NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c8671f138b4b57538188e4c50466cd67f7b69993eb38368a005593153eb25f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Pelicans, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Pelicans | 6c | 16,037$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.08 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Pelicans | 12c | 11,675$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.9 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 12c | 10,536$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.93 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Pelicans | 10c | 9,380$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.03 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans | 10c | 7,260$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.69 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Pelicans | 13c | 6,107$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Pelicans | 12c | 5,965$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.02 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Pelicans | 14c | 5,721$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Pelicans | 13c | 4,120$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.16 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…3e65backed Pelicans | 13c | 3,986$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pelicans | 11c | 3,983$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.13 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Pelicans | 11c | 3,592$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.17 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans | 11c | 2,500$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Pelicans | 9c | 1,572$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans | 11c | 1,383$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Pelicans | 9c | 1,352$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pelicans | 14c | 1,329$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pelicans | 4c | 1,143$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Pelicans | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pelicans | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,015$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Pelicans | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…3ad5backed Pelicans | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Pelicans | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…e34ebacked Pelicans | 10c | 999.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Pelicans | 11c | 910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Pelicans | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Pelicans | 14c | 859.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Pelicans | 13c | 799.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Pelicans | 10c | 782.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pelicans | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pelicans | 13c | 628.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Pelicans | 14c | 600$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Pelicans | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans | 11c | 500.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…43a0backed Pelicans | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Pelicans | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Pelicans | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pelicans | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans | 4c | 364.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Pelicans | 12c | 360$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Pelicans | 11c | 320$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Pelicans | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pelicans | 14c | 271.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Pelicans | 11c | 263.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Pelicans | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pelicans | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Pelicans | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Pelicans | 12c | 211.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Pelicans | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Pelicans | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Pelicans | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Pelicans | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Pelicans | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…c455backed Pelicans | 12c | 172.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…dd85backed Pelicans | 11c | 166.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Pelicans | 14c | 155.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1005…1154backed Pelicans | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Pelicans | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…c349backed Pelicans | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pelicans | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae6…ddc0backed Pelicans | 12c | 149.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59c…5639backed Pelicans | 12c | 146.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Pelicans | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f51…af3bbacked Pelicans | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28a…bcd4backed Pelicans | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…5e0dbacked Pelicans | 14c | 135.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…6c05backed Pelicans | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Pelicans | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Pelicans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Pelicans | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Pelicans | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…a5f0backed Pelicans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8723…3702backed Pelicans | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Pelicans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Pelicans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked Pelicans | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…3a08backed Pelicans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Timberwolves | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…d392backed Pelicans | 13c | 78.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…cd97backed Pelicans | 14c | 75.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.