NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf33b8a729702277098e6fa362cef37c89213e82a18d9a8ec3e46bcd8feff0e03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Canadiens, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bbb…61fcbacked Canadiens | 33c | 6,911$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…d5babacked Canadiens | 33c | 6,870$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Canadiens | 35c | 6,855$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.03 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 38c | 5,470$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.51 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…e2d7backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 3,599$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…3156backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 3,539$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e4…744ebacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 3,503$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Canadiens | 32c | 3,206$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.99 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dde…fb61backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 3,141$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 2,116$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.86 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,977$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.02 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,792$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 1,714$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.29 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,614$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.49 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 1,603$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked Canadiens | 32c | 1,601$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Canadiens | 35c | 1,430$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 1,370$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.8 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,135$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Canadiens | 43c | 980.68$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 739.09$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.9 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Canadiens | 33c | 626.86$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…509cbacked Canadiens | 33c | 590$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…b5dcbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 590$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…79e0backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 569.64$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Canadiens | 35c | 499.48$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 441.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 424.67$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 368$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 352.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 349.95$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 339.09$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 325.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…48b3backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 320.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fce…0a05backed Canadiens | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Canadiens | 34c | 301.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…7217backed Canadiens | 33c | 297.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Canadiens | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens | 32c | 280.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 222$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1098backed Canadiens | 35c | 217.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Canadiens | 39c | 203.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…bf7cbacked Canadiens | 33c | 202.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Canadiens | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…8235backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…0f5dbacked Canadiens | 41c | 169$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fa…f7a6backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 163.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Canadiens | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Canadiens | 33c | 160.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Canadiens | 32c | 160$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 151.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 148.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 147.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 145.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Canadiens | 32c | 141$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 139.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…c812backed Canadiens | 40c | 131.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…fa16backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 128.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…f757backed Canadiens | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53be…d529backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 119$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…b1e5backed Canadiens | 36c | 119$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 118$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…e54fbacked Canadiens | 33c | 114$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7520…e8fcbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 114$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd01…387ebacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…d82fbacked Canadiens | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954f…8b77backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…8bbbbacked Canadiens | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9699…2b4dbacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 104.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28d…d12abacked Canadiens | 36c | 101$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…a4c8backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 101$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Canadiens | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…aa8bbacked Canadiens | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…1dccbacked Canadiens | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Canadiens | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…a215backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…8c41backed Canadiens | 33c | 93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…3338backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 87.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…19dcbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 83.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Canadiens | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…eb6cbacked Canadiens | 33c | 77.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…a583backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 77.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…1034backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…2acebacked Canadiens | 36c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46f…874bbacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 76.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…fcbdbacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 76.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8424…a5d6backed Canadiens | 36c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…b32bbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 75.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.