NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc9c5bd44d98b270bf70ae0e5656563190c24ad01a22d8a81583c04d6e975f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Wizards | 8c | 13,325$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.35 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 13c | 12,538$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.31 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Wizards | 27c | 7,007$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.93 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Wizards | 26c | 6,344$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.08 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Magic | 75c | 5,390$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.92 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 27c | 5,050$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.43 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Magic | 74c | 4,205$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.23 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 74c | 3,913$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.16 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards | 26c | 3,558$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.46 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…1609backed Magic | 74c | 2,882$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 74c | 2,870$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.2 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Wizards | 24c | 2,544$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.64 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 24c | 2,191$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.85 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Magic | 75c | 2,026$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 74c | 2,025$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.52 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 73c | 2,000$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.32 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…f3e9backed Wizards | 25c | 1,775$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Wizards | 25c | 1,694$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.48 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0279…6774backed Magic | 75c | 1,451$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…0870backed Wizards | 26c | 1,438$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Wizards | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Magic | 72c | 1,317$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.77 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Wizards | 21c | 1,312$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.37 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards | 24c | 1,248$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.16 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 77c | 1,217$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.38 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Wizards | 24c | 1,150$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.68 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Wizards | 18c | 1,113$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7d…3da8backed Magic | 74c | 1,035$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Wizards | 27c | 1,020$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed Wizards | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 71c | 999.98$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.45 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 28c | 999.96$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Wizards | 19c | 950.21$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 75c | 902$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…9363backed Wizards | 25c | 888.02$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Wizards | 24c | 834.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.33 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…480cbacked Magic | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Wizards | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Wizards | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Magic | 75c | 720$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Magic | 75c | 665.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.38 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab2…b7aabacked Magic | 74c | 630.47$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Wizards | 25c | 592.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…80bbbacked Wizards | 26c | 569.85$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.16 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Magic | 74c | 568.94$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.61 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…8501backed Wizards | 27c | 540.74$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Wizards | 10c | 509.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…7b48backed Wizards | 2c | 507.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Magic | 74c | 503$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Wizards | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 25c | 499.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Wizards | 26c | 499.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Wizards | 26c | 463.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 26c | 434.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Magic | 75c | 424.71$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Magic | 73c | 424.66$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Wizards | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…8768backed Wizards | 26c | 388.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Wizards | 26c | 384.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Wizards | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Wizards | 28c | 359.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Magic | 76c | 346.14$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wizards | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Wizards | 29c | 343.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Wizards | 31c | 341.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Magic | 74c | 340$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Magic | 74c | 327.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Magic | 76c | 315.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Magic | 75c | 300.45$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…6728backed Wizards | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Magic | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Wizards | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d9d4backed Magic | 76c | 289.47$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Magic | 75c | 288.55$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Wizards | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 27c | 277.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 73c | 264.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 27c | 264$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…22cfbacked Wizards | 27c | 253.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Magic | 75c | 250.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Magic | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Wizards | 6c | 249.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Wizards | 20c | 249.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…3839backed Magic | 74c | 236.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wizards | 18c | 233.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…c2bcbacked Magic | 76c | 230.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Magic | 76c | 228$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Wizards | 7c | 225.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…867ebacked Wizards | 25c | 219$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Magic | 75c | 207.45$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…70e8backed Wizards | 26c | 205.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Magic | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.