MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba911b53752715ddb6b4d67c4428bf35a628880dffd8827842f7f3211bbdc42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Pirates, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c08…5d69backed Phillies | 68c | 9,999$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…a24cbacked Pirates | 32c | 9,994$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 23c | 8,076$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.58 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 31c | 8,010$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.66 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Phillies | 80c | 5,198$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.03 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Phillies | 70c | 3,574$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.29 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 69c | 3,299$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.7 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 28c | 2,136$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.57 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 20c | 1,968$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.94 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…0b33backed Pirates | 32c | 1,900$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Phillies | 68c | 1,517$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.44 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Pirates | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 67c | 1,497$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.76 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 21c | 1,301$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 80c | 1,297$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.18 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 32c | 1,261$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 1c | 1,117$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Pirates | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fff…d4b2backed Phillies | 68c | 976$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…6cf8backed Phillies | 68c | 924$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 68c | 900.14$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.04 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pirates | 2c | 811.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Phillies | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 16c | 641.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 24c | 638.21$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Phillies | 80c | 629.64$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Pirates | 32c | 613.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Phillies | 55c | 562.29$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.29 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 69c | 550$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Pirates | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb584…4432backed Pirates | 36c | 418.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 69c | 411$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 68c | 405.75$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Phillies | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…5f66backed Pirates | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Phillies | 41c | 248.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Pirates | 33c | 198.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Phillies | 68c | 192.64$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 31c | 187.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Phillies | 68c | 152$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9d…33ccbacked Phillies | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c2…eacbbacked Pirates | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Phillies | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…3f7ebacked Pirates | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Pirates | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Pirates | 33c | 91.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0839…9acfbacked Pirates | 33c | 84.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…a5f0backed Phillies | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acb…e88fbacked Phillies | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Pirates | 20c | 73.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Pirates | 33c | 73.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Phillies | 70c | 71.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Pirates | 28c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates | 31c | 63.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked Phillies | 68c | 61.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…7d49backed Pirates | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Phillies | 69c | 58.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 33c | 54.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Pirates | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Phillies | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pirates | 32c | 49.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…c914backed Phillies | 40c | 47.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Phillies | 66c | 47.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a4…3658backed Pirates | 26c | 47.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Phillies | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5eaabacked Pirates | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Pirates | 32c | 33.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9de…07d5backed Pirates | 33c | 33.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4590…989abacked Pirates | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Phillies | 66c | 30.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…12f7backed Pirates | 33c | 30.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe994…86ccbacked Phillies | 68c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Phillies | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Phillies | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c7d0backed Phillies | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Phillies | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Phillies | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Phillies | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 67c | 28.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Phillies | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…59f5backed Phillies | 68c | 25.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…40dbbacked Phillies | 69c | 25.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…5c60backed Phillies | 69c | 24.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…981dbacked Phillies | 68c | 24.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9f…3cc5backed Phillies | 69c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…d0cabacked Phillies | 69c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…7707backed Phillies | 69c | 20.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ca…612fbacked Phillies | 69c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Phillies | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…abdfbacked Phillies | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.