NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0432fc9380a9287ee1caebb82bb96c78a80867710d2669291c8645c1d417b622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $605,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $634,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53d0…ef76backed Pelicans | 14c | 130,000$18,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans | 46c | 53,146$24,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,885.42 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Timberwolves | 73c | 38,631$28,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,244.1 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 29,264$18,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,573.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Timberwolves | 58c | 22,690$13,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,212.7 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 40c | 17,467$7,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,435.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Pelicans | 12c | 13,912$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,242.53 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Timberwolves | 75c | 11,954$8,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,935.78 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 10,651$6,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,574.69 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e3…8476backed Pelicans | 14c | 9,988$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,589.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf502…2975backed Pelicans | 14c | 9,987$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,588.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…85f8backed Pelicans | 14c | 9,976$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,579.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Timberwolves | 72c | 9,892$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,080.31 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Pelicans | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,333.33 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 14c | 6,000$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.86 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Pelicans | 31c | 5,803$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.91 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Pelicans | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.56 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Pelicans | 28c | 5,395$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pelicans | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Timberwolves | 70c | 4,929$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…dfc0backed Timberwolves | 58c | 4,771$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pelicans | 13c | 4,587$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.13 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Timberwolves | 52c | 3,085$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.41 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Pelicans | 50c | 2,983$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.62 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Pelicans | 14c | 2,763$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.53 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pelicans | 19c | 2,520$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.98 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Pelicans | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans | 40c | 2,326$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.8 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Timberwolves | 73c | 2,318$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.97 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 21c | 2,283$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.89 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Timberwolves | 8c | 2,222$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.87 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Pelicans | 14c | 2,146$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.25 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves | 72c | 2,082$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.61 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans | 11c | 2,008$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.99 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,680$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.5 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Pelicans | 24c | 1,679$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.8 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 1,648$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.04 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 1,602$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.75 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…f4f2backed Pelicans | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 10c | 1,412$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pelicans | 14c | 1,400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Pelicans | 35c | 1,072$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.93 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans | 12c | 1,036$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.96 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Pelicans | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pelicans | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Pelicans | 13c | 999.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.96 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Pelicans | 13c | 962.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.28 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 960.81$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…eefdbacked Pelicans | 13c | 960.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Timberwolves | 69c | 855.69$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.5 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans | 29c | 718.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.92 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Pelicans | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pelicans | 14c | 700.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.77 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…14dbbacked Pelicans | 17c | 669.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 669.29$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.57 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Pelicans | 22c | 664.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Timberwolves | 60c | 660.72$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.43 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pelicans | 15c | 660$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…3e65backed Timberwolves | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans | 13c | 604.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.34 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Timberwolves | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Pelicans | 11c | 550$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.96 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Pelicans | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pelicans | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pelicans | 38c | 494.87$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.87 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…3839backed Pelicans | 15c | 490.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…9bd1backed Timberwolves | 70c | 474.53$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.17 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…7867backed Pelicans | 43c | 444$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Pelicans | 20c | 438.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.48 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Pelicans | 16c | 428.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.49 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…7069backed Pelicans | 49c | 411.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pelicans | 25c | 396.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.32 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Pelicans | 18c | 392.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.44 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Pelicans | 26c | 385.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 372.07$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.55 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Pelicans | 13c | 370.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.7 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Pelicans | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans | 10c | 353$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…8a53backed Pelicans | 14c | 350$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Timberwolves | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…62b5backed Pelicans | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Pelicans | 22c | 300$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Pelicans | 31c | 299.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Timberwolves | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 63c | 250$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Pelicans | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 18c | 230.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.65 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…ae70backed Pelicans | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Pelicans | 52c | 226.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 5c | 223$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…cbc2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 222$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Timberwolves | 5c | 215.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Pelicans | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Timberwolves | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Pelicans | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Pelicans | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca9e…7f44backed Pelicans | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Timberwolves | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.