NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe02982ef958b126b4fb197a5247457da63270dc4981b2ed974ec30706dec54c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Flames, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 35c | 3,445$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.84 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 2,000$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 28c | 1,885$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.05 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Flames | 35c | 1,569$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.63 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3a…0a11backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 1,474$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.72 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 34c | 1,403$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.17 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Flames | 30c | 1,308$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.98 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,300$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Flames | 34c | 1,257$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.15 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 33c | 1,099$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.64 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 34c | 1,062$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.7 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…a3cbbacked Flames | 35c | 868.58$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Flames | 36c | 798$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 33c | 773.33$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.23 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 36c | 708.81$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.17 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 582.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.64 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flames | 29c | 550.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Flames | 38c | 500.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.33 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 35c | 483.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 423.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 406.15$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 405.01$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 402.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Flames | 27c | 393.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Flames | 35c | 390.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 374.5$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Flames | 29c | 340.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 338.39$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Flames | 36c | 233.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…b992backed Flames | 36c | 210$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 206.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Flames | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…e82fbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 186.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed Flames | 36c | 183.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 146.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 140.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…1c25backed Flames | 36c | 132.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Flames | 23c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 121.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Flames | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…79a9backed Flames | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff6…bdafbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 104.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…fa23backed Flames | 37c | 104.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…b694backed Flames | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 98.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 32c | 91.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flames | 34c | 89.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 85.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…6f52backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 80.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Flames | 36c | 77.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames | 32c | 74.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…4a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 73.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 71.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Flames | 30c | 68.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Flames | 34c | 66.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…2c0ebacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Flames | 34c | 57.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…2c27backed Flames | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…07cebacked Flames | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…4e04backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 57.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…cee8backed Flames | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 53.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 51.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Flames | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…7c2fbacked Flames | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa592…f9aebacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 49.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5c…8e16backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 47.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36df…e360backed Flames | 34c | 44.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc50…db2bbacked Flames | 34c | 43.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d0…5b66backed Flames | 36c | 43.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…27dbbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Maple Leafs | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…160fbacked Flames | 36c | 35.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Flames | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a61…b939backed Flames | 36c | 34.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.