MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x070233315be1ba7ad9b927e0fd06a99ad9ff76526bc702cd047d13ff9ed2d12e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yankees | 64c | 13,168$8,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,427.37 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…396abacked Yankees | 64c | 9,998$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…90b3backed Guardians | 36c | 9,996$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,397.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 35c | 6,537$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,248.78 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 36c | 4,975$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Yankees | 19c | 4,734$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.07 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Guardians | 51c | 3,827$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.46 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Yankees | 64c | 3,022$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 72c | 3,017$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.49 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Guardians | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yankees | 65c | 2,746$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.73 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 54c | 2,683$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Guardians | 36c | 1,972$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.22 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Yankees | 21c | 1,917$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yankees | 1c | 1,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees | 64c | 1,350$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.37 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 40c | 1,197$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yankees | 24c | 1,111$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.95 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yankees | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yankees | 1c | 973.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yankees | 2c | 874.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 4c | 797.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 63c | 709.44$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.95 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 77c | 635.85$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.77 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Guardians | 77c | 600$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 73c | 571.56$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yankees | 64c | 560.03$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.75 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yankees | 18c | 539.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Guardians | 77c | 522.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Guardians | 35c | 499.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.98 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…5932backed Guardians | 67c | 446.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 74cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yankees | 51c | 408.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yankees | 16c | 405.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…2399backed Yankees | 65c | 401.25$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 19c | 394.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Yankees | 10c | 356.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 57c | 350$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…137fbacked Yankees | 65c | 350$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Yankees | 39c | 349.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Guardians | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Yankees | 63c | 290.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yankees | 6c | 281.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Guardians | 37c | 272.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 65c | 268.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 10c | 257.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Yankees | 18c | 253.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yankees | 65c | 230.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Guardians | 35c | 216.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Yankees | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Guardians | 36c | 154.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yankees | 64c | 154$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Yankees | 65c | 153.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yankees | 28c | 147.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 39c | 143.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…3488backed Yankees | 36c | 138.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 36c | 132$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 26c | 128.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Guardians | 68c | 126.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yankees | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05a…398bbacked Yankees | 64c | 121.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…785abacked Yankees | 64c | 118$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…408cbacked Guardians | 36c | 118$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…5177backed Guardians | 36c | 116$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ba…b0cabacked Yankees | 64c | 116$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Guardians | 72c | 112.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Guardians | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…7631backed Yankees | 64c | 111$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667b…6dc4backed Guardians | 36c | 111$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b41…88cabacked Yankees | 65c | 107.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…8a60backed Yankees | 64c | 105.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5494…588abacked Yankees | 64c | 105$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…1e25backed Guardians | 36c | 105$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…3187backed Guardians | 37c | 103.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…8e76backed Guardians | 37c | 100.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…42bfbacked Guardians | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…9362backed Yankees | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked Yankees | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Guardians | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Guardians | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…8267backed Yankees | 50c | 99.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…7881backed Guardians | 37c | 98.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…3838backed Yankees | 64c | 98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…2790backed Guardians | 36c | 98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 29c | 87.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…c914backed Yankees | 52c | 87.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…2c2cbacked Yankees | 64c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cc…e42dbacked Guardians | 36c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…d69cbacked Guardians | 36c | 84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be9…c63dbacked Yankees | 64c | 84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 65c | 83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…e4eebacked Yankees | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.