MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca62e70a61fd524b06066aaa3fba0aa45dd3d89c9974600fdd542a5bdea1c1de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Royals | 59c | 23,530$13,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,869.26 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 41c | 11,492$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,780.49 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 22c | 11,356$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Royals | 64c | 3,426$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.59 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 39c | 2,601$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.71 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Tigers | 62c | 2,032$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.88 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Royals | 59c | 1,950$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.49 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Tigers | 79c | 1,795$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.17 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Tigers | 40c | 1,776$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.54 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Tigers | 44c | 1,739$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.75 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 59c | 1,697$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.45 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Tigers | 40c | 1,632$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.34 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Royals | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 44c | 1,550$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Tigers | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 31c | 1,309$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.68 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers | 54c | 1,118$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.83 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Tigers | 40c | 1,115$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.05 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Royals | 27c | 1,049$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.42 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers | 41c | 1,004$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.36 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 25c | 826.1$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.11 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 60c | 606$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.66 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Royals | 15c | 590$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Royals | 64c | 556$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.84 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Royals | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tigers | 42c | 499.93$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.96 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers | 39c | 448.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Royals | 16c | 443.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Royals | 4c | 428.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Royals | 23c | 428.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Royals | 61c | 411.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Royals | 11c | 399.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Tigers | 79c | 381.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Royals | 49c | 364.88$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.79 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Tigers | 65c | 350.98$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Tigers | 62c | 327.42$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Tigers | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Royals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Tigers | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…c69ebacked Tigers | 43c | 260.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 41c | 230.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Tigers | 41c | 230$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 58c | 229.31$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Tigers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 57c | 224.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Tigers | 69c | 219.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Tigers | 55c | 219.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Tigers | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Royals | 17c | 199.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Tigers | 40c | 189.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 41c | 182.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Tigers | 41c | 160.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Tigers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Tigers | 53c | 141.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…8254backed Tigers | 40c | 129.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 43c | 125.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Tigers | 41c | 125.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Tigers | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Tigers | 41c | 124.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf794…d782backed Tigers | 40c | 120.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Tigers | 42c | 115$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Tigers | 44c | 114.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…1b3ebacked Tigers | 41c | 109.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Tigers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Tigers | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Royals | 61c | 95.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Tigers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4f…2ce5backed Royals | 60c | 90.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…55c6backed Tigers | 42c | 88.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…82dfbacked Tigers | 40c | 87.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…7438backed Royals | 60c | 86.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…6ad1backed Royals | 60c | 86.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…3099backed Tigers | 41c | 86.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…4d3bbacked Tigers | 42c | 85.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0118…3994backed Tigers | 41c | 84.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f38…3430backed Tigers | 41c | 83.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…bd16backed Royals | 61c | 82.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb3…858dbacked Tigers | 43c | 82.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…fddfbacked Royals | 61c | 82.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…e780backed Royals | 61c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 51c | 77.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x930a…07cdbacked Royals | 61c | 77.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…023fbacked Tigers | 40c | 77.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…4b80backed Royals | 60c | 76.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…fda0backed Royals | 61c | 76.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Royals | 61c | 75.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…8339backed Tigers | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…ef83backed Tigers | 40c | 74.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Royals | 16c | 72.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 35c | 72.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.