NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86f7d16b454dc48f31bb1d2db0ad4cb5381c39556d217a11d3847f6c9fb0af43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Timberwolves, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,405,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,294,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,405,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 997 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Timberwolves | 11c | 248,249$27,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,309.14 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Timberwolves | 24c | 172,415$40,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,588 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 75c | 150,000$113,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,000 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Timberwolves | 25c | 112,105$28,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,026.31 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Timberwolves | 9c | 99,000$9,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,129.96 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…4bb3backed Timberwolves | 25c | 81,544$20,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,385.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Thunder | 76c | 74,265$56,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,543.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Timberwolves | 4c | 61,008$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.05 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Thunder | 75c | 61,000$45,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Timberwolves | 5c | 60,498$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.92 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Timberwolves | 24c | 51,373$12,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,329.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 75c | 50,000$37,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Thunder | 77c | 49,640$38,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,417.1 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 76c | 48,965$37,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,641.01 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 14c | 47,068$6,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,777.84 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Timberwolves | 0c | 42,201$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 76c | 39,868$30,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,503.28 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Timberwolves | 26c | 38,968$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 75c | 34,647$26,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,552.52 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 24c | 32,675$7,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,935.25 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 76c | 32,129$24,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,710.85 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 75c | 22,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Timberwolves | 5c | 22,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Timberwolves | 24c | 20,833$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Thunder | 75c | 20,275$15,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Timberwolves | 4c | 20,019$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.46 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 75c | 20,000$15,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…0d14backed Timberwolves | 1c | 18,584$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…c52bbacked Timberwolves | 11c | 17,422$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Timberwolves | 2c | 16,924$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.36 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Timberwolves | 3c | 16,570$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.18 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 75c | 16,240$12,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 11c | 16,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…e984backed Timberwolves | 10c | 15,704$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Timberwolves | 1c | 14,100$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Timberwolves | 4c | 13,765$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Timberwolves | 5c | 13,741$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.04 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Timberwolves | 7c | 13,282$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Timberwolves | 1c | 13,100$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…e9f3backed Timberwolves | 10c | 12,637$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…efdbbacked Thunder | 75c | 11,800$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 2c | 11,512$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721f…748bbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 20c | 11,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Timberwolves | 7c | 11,000$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 24c | 10,014$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.31 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Thunder | 77c | 9,611$7,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.36 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Timberwolves | 24c | 9,103$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.93 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Thunder | 76c | 8,800$6,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 8,522$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Timberwolves | 25c | 8,182$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07b4backed Timberwolves | 14c | 8,141$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Timberwolves | 25c | 7,552$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 75c | 7,200$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.77 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Timberwolves | 4c | 7,050$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Timberwolves | 1c | 7,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Timberwolves | 25c | 6,920$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…c024backed Timberwolves | 24c | 5,900$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Thunder | 76c | 5,579$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.67 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Timberwolves | 24c | 5,555$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 5,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 23c | 5,470$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.01 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…436bbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 5,265$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Thunder | 76c | 5,263$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 76c | 5,210$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.11 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…a320backed Thunder | 77c | 5,189$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…387abacked Timberwolves | 0c | 5,143$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 17c | 5,106$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.76 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Thunder | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Timberwolves | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…dde5backed Timberwolves | 25c | 4,940$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…1e7bbacked Thunder | 76c | 4,939$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Timberwolves | 16c | 4,843$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.95 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Timberwolves | 1c | 4,759$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Thunder | 76c | 4,605$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.26 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Timberwolves | 25c | 4,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…4456backed Thunder | 76c | 4,500$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Timberwolves | 15c | 4,435$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.05 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Timberwolves | 3c | 4,209$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.3 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Thunder | 75c | 4,191$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Timberwolves | 25c | 4,071$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.87 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Timberwolves | 23c | 4,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Timberwolves | 16c | 3,832$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.13 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Timberwolves | 9c | 3,749$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Timberwolves | 6c | 3,610$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 228 | 26.3%60 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…6058backed Timberwolves | 4c | 3,569$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Timberwolves | 1c | 3,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e77…1bc1backed Timberwolves | 9c | 3,230$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 74c | 3,119$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…6a2cbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 3,055$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Timberwolves | 3c | 3,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 76c | 3,000$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.22 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 2,888$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…8e32backed Timberwolves | 2c | 2,802$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 9c | 2,789$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…94f3backed Thunder | 75c | 2,722$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…547dbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 2,718$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Timberwolves | 4c | 2,663$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Timberwolves | 11c | 2,650$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.48 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Thunderthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Thunder won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.