MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x466d833587263a7d84623493f52563d2741d74c052a8f21007418837ce532fb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Athletics | 38c | 38,662$14,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,707.02 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Twins | 63c | 16,280$10,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,995.41 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…33ffbacked Twins | 60c | 9,995$5,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…385abacked Athletics | 40c | 9,995$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 10c | 9,042$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins | 62c | 6,862$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.41 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Twins | 62c | 6,423$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.83 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 68c | 6,291$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.18 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Twins | 60c | 3,079$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.47 | 359 | 54.6%196 W · 163 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 67c | 3,002$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.57 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Athletics | 39c | 2,925$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.61 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Athletics | 38c | 2,400$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…feedbacked Twins | 57c | 2,120$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 61c | 2,067$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.13 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 2c | 2,034$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Twins | 58c | 2,010$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Athletics | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Athletics | 38c | 1,958$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.03 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 64c | 1,916$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.49 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…47acbacked Athletics | 40c | 1,825$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Athletics | 38c | 1,699$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.68 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…2602backed Athletics | 43c | 1,674$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…0717backed Athletics | 43c | 1,674$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Twins | 60c | 1,443$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.18 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 34c | 1,262$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.66 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Athletics | 40c | 1,262$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.94 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…df66backed Twins | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Athletics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…f284backed Twins | 60c | 992$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 2c | 926.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 60c | 869.57$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.47 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Athletics | 35c | 860$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…3865backed Twins | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 6c | 733.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Athletics | 4c | 728.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 329 | 32.2%106 W · 223 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Athletics | 24c | 600$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Twins | 64c | 549.91$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.97 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Athletics | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 19c | 440.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Twins | 73c | 440.03$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Twins | 62c | 432$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 59c | 430$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Athletics | 6c | 426.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Athletics | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Twins | 64c | 386.15$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Twins | 64c | 349.07$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Athletics | 11c | 330$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Athletics | 31c | 330$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Athletics | 39c | 329.74$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 39c | 313.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Twins | 64c | 313$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 923 | 50.1%462 W · 461 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Twins | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Athletics | 36c | 295.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 38c | 265.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Athletics | 19c | 264.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Athletics | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Twins | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…137fbacked Athletics | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Athletics | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Athletics | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 41c | 199.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Twins | 62c | 199.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Athletics | 40c | 149.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Twins | 63c | 145$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Twins | 64c | 141.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 38c | 130.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Twins | 64c | 130$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Twins | 64c | 115.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…b51ebacked Athletics | 43c | 113$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…0c00backed Twins | 57c | 113$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…f078backed Athletics | 43c | 113$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…911cbacked Twins | 57c | 113$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…6476backed Athletics | 43c | 113$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…cb30backed Twins | 57c | 113$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…9979backed Athletics | 43c | 111$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…a153backed Twins | 57c | 111$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d31…8d1cbacked Athletics | 43c | 108$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55de…6621backed Twins | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 26c | 104.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…5b09backed Athletics | 43c | 102$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…9678backed Twins | 57c | 102$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…95c7backed Athletics | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Athletics | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Twins | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics | 38c | 99.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2689…ae51backed Twins | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f3…02b5backed Athletics | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…63e2backed Twins | 58c | 96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af3…02d5backed Athletics | 42c | 96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…0f5cbacked Twins | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…2a04backed Athletics | 43c | 96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 62c | 95.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…b450backed Twins | 64c | 94.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…214ebacked Athletics | 37c | 93.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Athletics | 39c | 92.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 59c | 90.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.