College Football · resolved market
UCLA vs. Michigan State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8497acf1f17fc16cadb91d45f2216d4e6fb2e44daa54016374feea666a41ea0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLAof UCLA, Michigan State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Michigan State | 76c | 243,173$185,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,000 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed UCLA | 23c | 132,925$30,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,326 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UCLA | 28c | 43,496$12,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,121.83 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UCLA | 24c | 37,098$8,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,194.48 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked UCLA | 26c | 20,620$5,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,258.98 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed UCLA | 64c | 9,970$6,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.34 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UCLA | 29c | 8,710$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,184.1 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Michigan State | 71c | 8,625$6,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,123.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UCLA | 26c | 8,144$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,997.66 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked UCLA | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.96 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Michigan State | 20c | 6,443$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.25 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed UCLA | 25c | 6,300$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UCLA | 42c | 4,961$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.14 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Michigan State | 73c | 4,038$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed UCLA | 28c | 3,710$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.06 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed UCLA | 29c | 3,509$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.43 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Michigan State | 72c | 3,417$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.14 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Michigan State | 0c | 3,402$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked UCLA | 26c | 2,753$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.67 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Michigan State | 73c | 2,633$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.45 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Michigan State | 71c | 2,597$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.12 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Michigan State | 37c | 2,531$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.17 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed UCLA | 25c | 2,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked UCLA | 25c | 2,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed UCLA | 27c | 2,461$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.53 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked UCLA | 26c | 2,193$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.89 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Michigan State | 12c | 1,800$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed UCLA | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed UCLA | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed UCLA | 28c | 1,704$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f6…fd5abacked UCLA | 29c | 1,670$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…70f1backed UCLA | 29c | 1,669$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…332abacked Michigan State | 73c | 1,669$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked UCLA | 27c | 1,550$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.41 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cb…82ecbacked Michigan State | 73c | 1,521$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked UCLA | 25c | 1,500$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…5ce8backed Michigan State | 72c | 1,424$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…2d61backed UCLA | 28c | 1,422$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed UCLA | 28c | 1,237$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.61 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed UCLA | 27c | 1,228$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.44 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked UCLA | 27c | 1,194$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.98 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michigan State | 71c | 1,162$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.71 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked UCLA | 26c | 1,061$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.91 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed UCLA | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked UCLA | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed UCLA | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked UCLA | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Michigan State | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Michigan State | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Michigan State | 72c | 923.9$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 65cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked UCLA | 26c | 908.03$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.16 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed UCLA | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked UCLA | 26c | 671.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.2 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed UCLA | 26c | 607.66$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.97 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Michigan State | 52c | 596.66$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan State | 57c | 535.26$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.75 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Michigan State | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked UCLA | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed UCLA | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…39e7backed Michigan State | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Michigan State | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…c1aabacked UCLA | 28c | 363.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +256.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked UCLA | 29c | 320.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…5888backed UCLA | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Michigan State | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UCLA | 26c | 290.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michigan State | 49c | 285.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…bdebbacked Michigan State | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…694abacked Michigan State | 74c | 271.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCLA | 27c | 269$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Michigan State | 73c | 262.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Michigan State | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed UCLA | 28c | 253.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…ac5abacked UCLA | 35c | 250.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed UCLA | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…b071backed Michigan State | 74c | 243.24$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…f264backed Michigan State | 72c | 231.47$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed UCLA | 29c | 224.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…2130backed UCLA | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…d289backed Michigan State | 73c | 210.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…83bfbacked Michigan State | 74c | 193.14$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…3e8fbacked UCLA | 29c | 172.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked UCLA | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…7041backed Michigan State | 73c | 168.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed UCLA | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked UCLA | 29c | 165.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…3f62backed UCLA | 29c | 153.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…1c79backed Michigan State | 72c | 148.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked UCLA | 29c | 144.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked UCLA | 66c | 139.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Michigan State | 72c | 139.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…ff25backed Michigan State | 73c | 137.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed Michigan State | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Michigan State | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…806ebacked UCLA | 28c | 128.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed UCLA | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked UCLA | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Michigan State | 73c | 115.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed UCLA | 29c | 110$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked UCLA | 27c | 109.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA vs. Michigan Statethis page
- O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State (-7.5)UCLA won
- Spread: Michigan State (-8.5)UCLA won
- UCLA vs. Michigan State: O/U 52.5Under won
- UCLA vs. Michigan State: O/U 53.5Under won
- UCLA vs. Michigan State: O/U 54.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.