TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Brewers, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$436,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$441,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1fbc…9a2cbacked Brewers36c200,000$71,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,062.071020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-52.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Dodgers63c83,732$52,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,574.7815353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Dodgers64c60,237$38,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,320.1297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers58c53,056$30,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,860.392,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers44c34,659$15,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,287.161,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Brewers36c32,436$11,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,759.1211057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers64c28,929$18,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,379.451,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Dodgers61c24,108$14,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,62741747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Brewers38c24,000$9,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,88028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers64c16,000$10,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,239.9944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers20c13,571$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.9495930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc712…450ebacked Dodgers56c8,944$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Brewers37c8,599$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,417.516347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Brewers39c6,451$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,950.893023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Brewers37c5,722$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,607.1538949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers51c5,650$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.8686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers63c3,198$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.1955053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Dodgers64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Dodgers60c2,953$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.4624551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Dodgers66c2,621$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72046631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Brewers36c2,400$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53631346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Brewers37c2,289$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.679759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers64c2,183$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.632,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Dodgers54c1,976$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.7243946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dodgers55c1,853$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.7596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers67c1,829$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.2232852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Brewers61c1,775$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.554048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Brewers77c1,693$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.397455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers36c1,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89661346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…ede5backed Brewers77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.092556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Brewers39c1,286$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.8124154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dodgers61c1,161$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.4441643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbccd…6aeebacked Dodgers64c975$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6244045%18 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Dodgers45c945.21$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.0417927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Dodgers65c928.2$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.8513145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4200…a64bbacked Brewers61c905.6$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Brewers37c900$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5671,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Dodgers64c899.98$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.9938249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Dodgers34c783.63$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.336,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers3c778.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3735854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Dodgers62c770$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.6265549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Dodgers66c708$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.8826650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers47c660.02$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.024,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Brewers36c652.78$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.787847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x996c…d8b9backed Brewers36c605.28$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.384146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Dodgers9c599.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5427733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Dodgers3c589$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.978762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Brewers64c542.52$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0253448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbc8…bf2bbacked Brewers79c491.73$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Brewers36c470.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.4315949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Brewers35c449.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4944443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers39c417.95$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16354941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6722546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Dodgers8c409.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Dodgers64c404.89$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.135352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers64c393.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb61…58ffbacked Brewers79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.75850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Dodgers71c376.01$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.583852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae90…c05fbacked Dodgers47c371.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.454654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…a137backed Brewers38c367.95$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.531266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Brewers33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe69b…6afdbacked Brewers39c301.86$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.494250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2739160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Brewers37c265.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.714148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Brewers38c260.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7916654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Brewers40c251.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5363052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers36c216.13$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.329,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Brewers78c200.82$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.972770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Brewers36c200.08$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.051,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1282,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Brewers37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12615644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Brewers36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12833852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Dodgers64c199.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9991749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5445…4e0bbacked Brewers34c196.92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.552536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa33f…fedbbacked Dodgers70c187.14$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.936546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Dodgers28c181.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.446038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Brewers40c176$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.041758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Brewers37c175.22$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf6…d0e7backed Dodgers55c158.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf366…bd1ebacked Brewers38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.895666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Dodgers65c154.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5f97backed Dodgers41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608146.9%38 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Brewers36c144$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1613843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Dodgers64c142$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8840629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Brewers36c140.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.215944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Dodgers65c130.27$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8524051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Brewers35c130$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.524250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Dodgers67c117.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0512045.8%55 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Brewers37c115.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4716552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Brewers36c109.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.979445.7%43 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…ad6abacked Brewers37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.117846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Brewers37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1128453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…db19backed Dodgers56c103.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.82045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Dodgers65c102.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Brewers36c100.33$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2119449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Dodgers63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6324951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.