Tennis · resolved market
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02b7a255c739fec9893bc0ff932afb3dadf00027cbe8e25023b87ea16b37a767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 37c | 48,724$17,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,846.67 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 63c | 10,143$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.73 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 37c | 9,999$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.63 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked No | 64c | 8,106$5,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 62c | 7,508$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.61 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 43c | 6,373$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.95 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 64c | 5,000$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.99 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.95 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 33c | 2,321$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.94 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 63c | 2,291$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.1 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 36c | 2,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed No | 64c | 1,778$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.73 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 36c | 1,564$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.07 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 62c | 1,356$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.9 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 61c | 1,340$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.66 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…adf8backed Yes | 38c | 1,314$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 39c | 1,194$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.37 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,154$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.59 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 36c | 1,065$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.95 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 66c | 1,006$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed No | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 61c | 965$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.65 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e85…1ccdbacked Yes | 31c | 950$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.26 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 884.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Yes | 38c | 875.41$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 37c | 855.54$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.99 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 36c | 849.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 36c | 827.22$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.54 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…3906backed Yes | 69c | 781.02$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Yes | 37c | 651$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…972abacked No | 64c | 632.78$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…c8dcbacked Yes | 71c | 619.19$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 36c | 607.26$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.79 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked No | 65c | 584.62$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 63c | 490$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 38c | 450$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Yes | 47c | 430.53$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.18 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 64c | 420.31$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 66c | 403.68$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.51 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 64c | 398$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 37c | 328$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.03 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes | 36c | 279.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Yes | 36c | 278.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 68c | 256.96$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…8f76backed Yes | 39c | 248.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 26c | 211.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.37 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 70c | 208.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…ad83backed Yes | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 37c | 195.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…3e01backed Yes | 37c | 190$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 61c | 163.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…ef73backed No | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26d…53ccbacked Yes | 37c | 162.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…bdcabacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 62c | 158.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked No | 74c | 150$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…ad45backed Yes | 33c | 149.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…df3bbacked No | 70c | 139.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 67c | 139.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 63c | 137.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yes | 79c | 134$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…6cc1backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 53c | 124$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 73c | 117.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 22c | 117.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…d4a9backed No | 78c | 115.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 64c | 113.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 38c | 102.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…a2e5backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes | 39c | 100.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…1208backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3b06backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 55c | 93.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…8422backed Yes | 38c | 93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 44c | 92.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…37e4backed Yes | 30c | 74.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +199.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Yes | 38c | 73.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 65c | 69.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…9040backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Yes | 36c | 60.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5791backed Yes | 29c | 58.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…d091backed Yes | 29c | 56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.