TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$460,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$499,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c16…09cbbacked No36c100,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,0003268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed No37c65,509$24,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,007.191952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aff…e954backed Yes64c38,832$24,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,776.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No75c32,492$24,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,084.2410845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb416…3169backed Yes63c31,689$19,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,977.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes62c30,625$18,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,974.363542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes64c26,337$16,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,855.448052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked No36c20,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,799.954548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes32c18,607$5,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,987.654040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1057…9ea5backed Yes64c16,400$10,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,49640%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0344…a65ebacked Yes65c15,517$10,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,045.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked No40c12,634$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,633.681338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a1…693fbacked Yes63c12,500$7,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8501844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed No37c10,811$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,810.8148851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No46c9,018$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,895.9317833.1%59 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes62c8,890$5,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,539.248643%37 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Yes64c8,685$5,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,521.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No38c7,881$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,881.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+142.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes62c7,392$4,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,582.873935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes63c7,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41064855.2%358 W · 290 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Yes64c6,749$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.261758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes61c6,307$3,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,821.2816140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No34c6,300$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,158.1915832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No37c6,083$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,825.692360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc56f…75efbacked Yes63c6,026$3,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,796.374330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Yes63c6,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7806376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes64c6,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,84013934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes59c4,983$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.6214345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed Yes65c4,347$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No36c3,226$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.064353.5%23 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked No38c3,157$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.54445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Yes64c3,125$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58c…9248backed Yes2c3,038$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked No37c2,646$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.4225722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Yes62c2,511$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5699935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes64c2,344$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50060753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No35c2,287$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.812231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Yes6c2,193$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13014940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed No35c2,102$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.062454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Yes64c2,020$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.92955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes64c2,012$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.449245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2603537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c92…1b05backed Yes47c1,994$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed No38c1,978$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.3673453%389 W · 345 L+36.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed No45c1,908$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.261060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No37c1,782$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No37c1,700$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0718640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked No53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79926039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No40c1,685$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.7412737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes56c1,632$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.0538348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes66c1,507$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.851342.9%220 W · 293 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed No38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9301656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No36c1,444$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.8362742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No48c1,409$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.6815724.8%39 W · 118 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ca…4faebacked Yes59c1,403$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…1208backed Yes51c1,337$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.752416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-75.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x141e…8c87backed No42c1,284$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No48c1,203$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.518854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes63c1,080$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.6795140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes52c1,062$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.657356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes25c1,059$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Yes61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6713…3878backed Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005966.1%39 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Yes63c888.18$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.551850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No59c857.57$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.5725244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x398f…3685backed Yes62c851.19$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.743330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No37c801.23$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.783158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes59c800$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4753745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes58c778.08$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b97…15d7backed Yes66c759.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes68c739.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x647e…dd9bbacked Yes68c736.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes53c736$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0812445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No47c736$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.0814540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed No42c720.89$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No57c706.59$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4917867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes62c700$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43452750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes62c642.5$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.318543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03a6…1198backed No39c642$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.627736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed No42c627.74$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.491650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x217d…38d8backed Yes64c626.8$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed No36c610$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.423847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed No37c547.16$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7112737.8%48 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked Yes64c534.38$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes63c507.94$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32036047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32528241.8%118 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e3…cf99backed No41c476.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes13c460.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.271,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yes64c423.09$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8925352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…b4f9backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010665.1%69 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1313…e5f7backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e09…da86backed Yes50c399$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.12650%13 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa248…04f3backed No41c372.55$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dae…c996backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed No50c361.98$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No36c356.44$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.121,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb157…d1bebacked Yes61c330.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79ad…4a3ebacked Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.