TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,198,250
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,272,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,198,250 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No26c658,066$172,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,160.721936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes75c327,716$245,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,900.8312551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes75c229,852$171,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,046.537762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Yes72c101,688$73,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,472.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes71c70,000$49,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,3005040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes71c69,000$48,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0102060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No26c36,401$9,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,43629545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No26c34,282$8,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,907.1527453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No25c25,000$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No25c21,120$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2807922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No28c20,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9850%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes75c17,834$13,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,458.449459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No29c14,000$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0607139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcde3…002dbacked Yes76c10,262$7,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.841172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes72c8,770$6,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.385058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes75c8,543$6,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.623444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes72c6,218$4,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.096051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes72c4,680$3,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.420255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes78c4,476$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.454845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No24c4,469$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.539450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes72c4,275$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1971560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No22c4,137$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.725616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes71c4,000$2,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.333458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed No30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes74c3,569$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.5428055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No26c3,217$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.7414854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes72c3,112$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.51662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No13c3,049$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.873250%16 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes76c2,924$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.7650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c2,697$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.433,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes72c2,630$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.473145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes75c2,508$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.96366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No29c2,301$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.97714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-74.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5316…d46bbacked Yes76c2,237$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes76c2,202$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.1827854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No24c2,004$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.0813046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No23c1,877$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.4425648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Yes80c1,728$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.642060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No25c1,728$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.929028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes77c1,653$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes76c1,649$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.122972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No27c1,490$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No24c1,472$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes75c1,460$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3651241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes72c1,434$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.512050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81df…d751backed Yes72c1,398$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.58875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Yes75c1,246$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.732240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes76c1,197$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.26246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes80c1,175$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.051770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes72c1,136$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3186035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dcd…d2cfbacked Yes77c1,105$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.054100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Yes76c1,022$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.37977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003218.8%6 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed Yes76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No25c999.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.996331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Yes76c988$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes76c921.79$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.233354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Yes78c830.26$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No24c799.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19218650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes75c799$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7510063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes71c796.25$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.912152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes76c786.05$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.651090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No24c770.67$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18612757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes75c750$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.53467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9805…bbaabacked Yes72c681.17$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No22c673$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0615851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No22c664$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.086855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No24c649.96$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No21c633.24$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.983636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes76c615.41$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes71c599.99$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1746160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No19c505.76$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.092733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked No25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes77c478.08$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8311261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No22c476.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9340033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No25c476$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1198828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes72c470$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.61283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62a4…971ebacked Yes74c442.08$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes72c416$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.483560%21 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No23c411.13$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8189…fa33backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9614621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9614348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f48…c790backed Yes74c394.67$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes73c390.77$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.776344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666b…2b83backed Yes74c388$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.88785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d6…7dd0backed No21c377.67$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc82…3ce9backed Yes73c375.72$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes76c360.49$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.522157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Yes76c337.2$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…a4d3backed Yes74c336.17$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No21c334.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.496753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes75c331.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.943046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes73c315$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3653242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes75c310.71$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.732962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.