Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bacb765b4b30303a22bcf1f61372b13363bcd3742c4a72d85ca2c62b2edf49a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $521,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed No | 44c | 59,625$26,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,235.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 45c | 48,710$21,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,919.54 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 56c | 48,299$27,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,251.54 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 55c | 40,000$22,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,899.99 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 42c | 40,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.98 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 44c | 31,287$13,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,715.38 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 45c | 30,821$13,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,858.09 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 28,790$16,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,515.64 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 73c | 22,667$16,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.03 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 58c | 18,000$10,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1ababacked Yes | 57c | 17,562$9,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,567.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 45c | 12,500$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 33c | 9,629$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.66 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 39c | 9,483$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.58 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 56c | 9,276$5,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.44 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 45c | 8,174$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.42 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 26c | 6,226$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.01 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 57c | 6,166$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 2c | 5,577$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 58c | 5,213$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.66 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 44c | 5,176$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.19 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 42c | 4,416$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.82 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed No | 43c | 3,490$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,931$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Yes | 74c | 2,768$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3693…d79ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,528$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 56c | 2,455$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.85 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 36c | 2,444$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.82 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 58c | 2,429$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.57 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed No | 45c | 2,231$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 43c | 2,046$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.04 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 55c | 2,020$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.01 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 37c | 1,993$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.59 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…4021backed Yes | 56c | 1,824$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…f70dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,804$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 70c | 1,797$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 44c | 1,782$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.06 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 51c | 1,764$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.37 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 59c | 1,721$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.18 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,600$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 22c | 1,591$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.61 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 57c | 1,492$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.38 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 42c | 1,458$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.83 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Yes | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked No | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 46c | 1,086$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,000$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 78c | 994.94$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.89 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 47c | 910.09$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.82 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…48f7backed Yes | 56c | 794.8$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 44c | 765.16$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.67 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed No | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 56c | 654.27$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.88 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…f346backed Yes | 56c | 624.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…f88dbacked Yes | 51c | 609.98$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 53c | 550$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes | 75c | 528.09$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 65c | 522.82$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked No | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 44c | 488.64$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…1331backed Yes | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 40c | 422.16$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.86 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 60c | 418.95$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 44c | 413.5$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.71 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 74c | 404.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 64c | 383.18$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 79c | 380$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 45c | 373.33$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…3f6abacked Yes | 57c | 371.93$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.93 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 58c | 368$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…6e92backed Yes | 56c | 363.55$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?this page
- Will Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.