Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b20206584ac090a1e32278ca7c02a296e4fde8050774a8a2e44e22597509ee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 0c | 78,024$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 21c | 12,653$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.13 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 78c | 12,543$9,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.05 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 78c | 9,184$7,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.58 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 78c | 8,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 21c | 5,677$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 78c | 5,566$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.71 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 23c | 5,215$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f002backed Yes | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 22c | 4,085$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 78c | 3,689$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.68 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 79c | 3,514$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 3,447$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.38 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,100$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 79c | 3,076$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.95 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,972$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 2,532$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.9 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,499$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 27c | 2,490$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 79c | 2,448$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.47 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,271$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.22 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 22c | 2,265$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.24 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…a455backed Yes | 22c | 2,223$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 21c | 2,120$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 79c | 2,092$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.97 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…12c4backed Yes | 8c | 1,865$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,800$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 12c | 1,658$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Yes | 22c | 1,536$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 8c | 1,513$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,455$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.55 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 7c | 1,455$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,348$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 12c | 1,209$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 18c | 1,200$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…0ad6backed Yes | 9c | 1,092$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,075$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Yes | 10c | 1,007$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 21c | 956.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Yes | 22c | 823.49$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…baecbacked No | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 21c | 799.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 12c | 794$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 19c | 787.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 21c | 747.62$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 14c | 706.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 78c | 694.96$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 79c | 578.68$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…d3c6backed Yes | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 22c | 520.63$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 22c | 492.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Yes | 22c | 458.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88a…004abacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 21c | 440$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 19c | 400.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed No | 79c | 390$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes | 13c | 376.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 17c | 343.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 78c | 333$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…8513backed Yes | 11c | 332$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 13c | 318.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…e978backed Yes | 16c | 305.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…0975backed Yes | 22c | 282.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 79c | 275.16$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 9c | 257.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…eac0backed Yes | 24c | 251.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 77c | 245$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…aef4backed Yes | 22c | 242.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…5984backed Yes | 21c | 235.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 22c | 234.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 9c | 232.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 78c | 222$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?this page
- Will Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.