TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Samsonova (W)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Swiatekof Swiatek, Samsonova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$325,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$365,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Swiatek74c90,659$67,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,517.4111230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Swiatek75c69,200$51,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,638.643641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Samsonova25c48,275$12,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,048.0328043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e8…df6ebacked Samsonova0c38,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Samsonova26c25,991$6,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,684.7116242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Samsonova27c23,819$6,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,390.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Samsonova26c21,175$5,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,456.8739144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Swiatek76c18,320$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,320.12263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Samsonova24c16,398$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+64.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Samsonova25c16,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05015832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Samsonova26c13,396$3,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.0662742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Samsonova3c9,647$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2418740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Samsonova26c6,479$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.59826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Samsonova25c5,777$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.3712231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Swiatek74c4,990$3,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Samsonova26c4,736$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.8495140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Swiatek74c4,086$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.786376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Samsonova26c2,924$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.322317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Swiatek74c2,672$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.6712038.3%46 W · 74 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Samsonova25c2,645$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.332360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Samsonova23c2,625$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.256136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Samsonova26c2,431$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.062748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x702b…d274backed Samsonova8c2,385$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.141435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Samsonova26c2,193$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.431,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Samsonova4c2,149$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.186136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Samsonova27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Swiatek75c1,865$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.22751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Samsonova29c1,749$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.226039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Samsonova18c1,635$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5932141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Samsonova26c1,489$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.761,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Samsonova18c1,336$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5437230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf884…f5b2backed Swiatek76c1,236$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Swiatek75c1,150$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.517867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Samsonova24c1,125$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.061040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Samsonova28c1,080$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29923429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Samsonova26c1,055$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.289137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Swiatek74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Samsonova26c960$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39c2…d478backed Swiatek74c950$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2471952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1578…fa2cbacked Swiatek74c903.26$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.851478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf909…2b17backed Swiatek74c821.43$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.571266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Samsonova27c766$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.847943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Swiatek75c724.67$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.176832.4%22 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Swiatek74c657.3$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.93638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Samsonova26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x666b…2b83backed Swiatek73c594.27$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.452462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda71…db66backed Swiatek74c577.95$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Swiatek72c532.82$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.193458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Samsonova11c516.34$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.736127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Samsonova15c516.24$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.759130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Swiatek75c500$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Swiatek72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14031650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Samsonova7c499.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.52227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Swiatek75c491.93$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.933447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c10…35dcbacked Samsonova25c490.67$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.672774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Samsonova26c484.62$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266035%21 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Swiatek74c476.11$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.799149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Swiatek76c460.79$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.791741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-35%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Samsonova22c451.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.512737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e3…fd58backed Samsonova14c423.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Samsonova26c390$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.45552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Samsonova27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4226…8daabacked Swiatek73c369.86$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d22…302abacked Swiatek73c365.14$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.241675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97be…416dbacked Swiatek74c346.79$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.761631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Samsonova24c331.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5150%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Swiatek75c330$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.512954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Samsonova27c306.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.912548%12 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Swiatek76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7262952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Samsonova26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7811927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a0…4446backed Swiatek74c272.86$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22c…53e9backed Swiatek75c264$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Samsonova28c262.86$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.65540%22 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Swiatek76c262.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3451243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9262…4978backed Swiatek80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Swiatek80c236.05$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8223670.8%167 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x974f…637bbacked Swiatek74c231.76$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.262343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c9…7853backed Swiatek76c230.09$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.291478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Swiatek75c210$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Swiatek77c206.62$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5232161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Samsonova7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Samsonova24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Samsonova28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Samsonova26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Swiatek73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545052%26 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdc4…a880backed Samsonova25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506633.3%22 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb78d…1d48backed Swiatek78c199.22$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.225360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9c…0fe6backed Swiatek76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.372166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Samsonova26c190$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.411037.3%41 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Swiatek74c181$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.31,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062e…9747backed Samsonova27c174.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab3e…6939backed Samsonova17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265617.9%10 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Swiatek72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4217349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Samsonova26c148$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.488943.8%39 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Samsonova23c146.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.762,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Samsonova28c135.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.983946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe98…ce33backed Swiatek74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+100.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Swiatek74c133.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.799154.9%50 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e1…9c10backed Swiatek75c133.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.677061.4%43 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Swiatek76c131.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6763942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.