Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Lloyd Harris vs Taylor Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab865e8dd9f5c1bd8624c023bf339e3c45972ccd21168904681d9a0e2a9a9e70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Harris, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Harris | 7c | 6,608$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.56 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Harris | 8c | 6,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.5 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Harris | 17c | 5,812$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.67 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Harris | 18c | 5,422$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.18 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Harris | 18c | 2,073$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.95 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Fritz | 78c | 1,969$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.55 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Harris | 8c | 1,900$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Harris | 8c | 1,850$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.42 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Harris | 18c | 1,731$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.84 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Harris | 28c | 1,287$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Harris | 27c | 921.44$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.41 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Harris | 7c | 804$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Fritz | 78c | 772.64$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Harris | 7c | 686$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Harris | 8c | 636.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Fritz | 79c | 636.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Harris | 25c | 550.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Harris | 19c | 538.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Harris | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Harris | 7c | 380.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Harris | 24c | 321$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fritz | 75c | 320$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Harris | 6c | 315.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Harris | 8c | 312.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Harris | 9c | 261$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Fritz | 79c | 253.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Fritz | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Harris | 8c | 201$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Fritz | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Fritz | 78c | 128.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Harris | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Harris | 21c | 68.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Harris | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Harris | 18c | 64.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Fritz | 74c | 40.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f88…fc5fbacked Fritz | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7b…b568backed Fritz | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.