Tennis · resolved market
Terra Wortmann: Medvedev vs. Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf278ad050667923d22c1c56cc574da5cf36023cae1a7b3550b4475ec7b7ba8ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublik of Medvedev, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Bublik | 42c | 92,220$38,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,735.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Medvedev | 58c | 53,661$31,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,323.02 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Medvedev | 57c | 17,416$9,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.73 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Medvedev | 10c | 15,927$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.56 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Medvedev | 58c | 7,078$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Medvedev | 58c | 6,474$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.23 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bublik | 71c | 6,452$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.06 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…35a9backed Medvedev | 61c | 4,730$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Medvedev | 33c | 4,473$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.19 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Medvedev | 26c | 3,211$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.77 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Medvedev | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Medvedev | 61c | 2,977$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Bublik | 39c | 2,161$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.21 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Bublik | 46c | 1,949$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.56 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Medvedev | 49c | 1,752$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.23 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Bublik | 40c | 1,625$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.05 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Medvedev | 9c | 1,357$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Medvedev | 61c | 1,215$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.08 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…f91bbacked Bublik | 74c | 1,160$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Medvedev | 61c | 1,090$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.18 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Medvedev | 61c | 1,000$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.95 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Medvedev | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Bublik | 38c | 945.36$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.12 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Medvedev | 30c | 900$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Medvedev | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…d478backed Bublik | 40c | 718.57$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Medvedev | 61c | 657.33$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.97 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Medvedev | 28c | 545.31$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Bublik | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…d80ebacked Medvedev | 58c | 500$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Medvedev | 58c | 499.19$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.12 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Medvedev | 62c | 484.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Bublik | 46c | 438.17$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.61 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Medvedev | 61c | 375$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Medvedev | 59c | 349.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.49 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Medvedev | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Bublik | 40c | 305$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Medvedev | 33c | 288$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…0e50backed Bublik | 37c | 276.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bublik | 41c | 244.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Bublik | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e75…ec2dbacked Medvedev | 32c | 237.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…935cbacked Bublik | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Medvedev | 19c | 207.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Medvedev | 50c | 201.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab9…7e40backed Medvedev | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Medvedev | 61c | 173.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Medvedev | 61c | 169.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Bublik | 67c | 155$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Medvedev | 36c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Medvedev | 59c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed Medvedev | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…b0f5backed Medvedev | 34c | 148.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Bublik | 40c | 146.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Bublik | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Medvedev | 12c | 132.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…6333backed Bublik | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Bublik | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Medvedev | 42c | 124.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Medvedev | 61c | 117.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Medvedev | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd8…12fcbacked Bublik | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Medvedev | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Bublik | 38c | 99.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Medvedev | 60c | 99.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Medvedev | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…bf0bbacked Medvedev | 62c | 83.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Medvedev | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Medvedev | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…31bebacked Medvedev | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Medvedev | 56c | 51.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Bublik | 39c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Medvedev | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Bublik | 41c | 41.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Medvedev | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…3d76backed Bublik | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Bublik | 41c | 35.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed Medvedev | 60c | 29.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eef…bbaabacked Bublik | 40c | 26.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Medvedev | 47c | 23.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Bublik | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed Medvedev | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.