Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473ec5250044cb936250cd7bcb3b0f3da47b5ee285f0f5674de9c2fe0fc8c247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Palmeirasof Palmeiras, Botafogo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed Palmeiras | 61c | 16,393$10,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,315.81 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Palmeiras | 64c | 13,111$8,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.92 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Botafogo | 38c | 12,000$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…a19ebacked Botafogo | 41c | 11,816$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Palmeiras | 61c | 6,250$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.15 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Palmeiras | 60c | 4,621$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.59 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Palmeiras | 62c | 3,924$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Palmeiras | 63c | 3,348$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.66 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Botafogo | 28c | 3,145$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.7 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Palmeiras | 66c | 3,010$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.6 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…fe58backed Botafogo | 40c | 2,554$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.71 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Botafogo | 39c | 2,500$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.97 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Botafogo | 5c | 2,496$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Botafogo | 12c | 2,490$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.65 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Botafogo | 38c | 2,299$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.73 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Botafogo | 5c | 2,265$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Botafogo | 40c | 2,083$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.89 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Palmeiras | 64c | 2,005$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.46 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Botafogo | 35c | 1,660$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.76 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Palmeiras | 68c | 1,595$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Botafogo | 37c | 1,520$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x513b…7341backed Botafogo | 37c | 1,358$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Palmeiras | 57c | 1,013$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.72 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Botafogo | 40c | 1,000$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Botafogo | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Palmeiras | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Palmeiras | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Palmeiras | 58c | 999.96$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Botafogo | 12c | 860.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…4f02backed Botafogo | 7c | 826.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Botafogo | 38c | 788.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Palmeiras | 57c | 777.94$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.52 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Botafogo | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…0503backed Botafogo | 41c | 735$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Palmeiras | 61c | 676.71$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.17 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Palmeiras | 63c | 638.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.03 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Botafogo | 36c | 608.86$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.19 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Botafogo | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Palmeiras | 62c | 550.24$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Botafogo | 36c | 519.44$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Palmeiras | 59c | 508.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…b4d9backed Botafogo | 39c | 505.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…7865backed Palmeiras | 59c | 505$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…c705backed Palmeiras | 59c | 495$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Palmeiras | 59c | 492.45$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.45 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Botafogo | 41c | 491.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Botafogo | 40c | 486.87$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Palmeiras | 55c | 477$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Palmeiras | 63c | 465$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Botafogo | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Palmeiras | 63c | 390.47$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Botafogo | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Palmeiras | 66c | 366.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Botafogo | 40c | 365.83$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Botafogo | 42c | 360.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Palmeiras | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda9…d4cbbacked Palmeiras | 61c | 269.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Palmeiras | 62c | 268$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Botafogo | 40c | 263.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…c806backed Botafogo | 41c | 255$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Botafogo | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Palmeiras | 58c | 220.27$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Botafogo | 40c | 220$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Botafogo | 11c | 216.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…fda0backed Botafogo | 36c | 215.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Botafogo | 27c | 204.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Botafogo | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed Botafogo | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Botafogo | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Botafogo | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Botafogo | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Botafogo | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Botafogo | 17c | 175.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Botafogo | 40c | 174.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…5a81backed Palmeiras | 63c | 159.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec63…85ddbacked Palmeiras | 65c | 154.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…0ffabacked Botafogo | 40c | 152$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…e37cbacked Botafogo | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Palmeiras | 58c | 143.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…7ebbbacked Palmeiras | 65c | 127.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Botafogo | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…9b9bbacked Botafogo | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Botafogo | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Botafogo | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Botafogo | 42c | 111.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Palmeiras | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Botafogo | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…d67bbacked Botafogo | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed Botafogo | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Botafogo | 40c | 99.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…93babacked Palmeiras | 60c | 93.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Botafogo | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…b9c9backed Botafogo | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…87babacked Botafogo | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…9b90backed Botafogo | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…127dbacked Botafogo | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594a…49aebacked Botafogo | 43c | 92.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Botafogo | 44c | 92.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Botafogo | 12c | 91.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…a5d5backed Botafogo | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.