Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Collins (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e124d7a10cc208fbeaeb4c1760adbd1d141186a60466540164c96c5eef561af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swiatek of Swiatek , Collins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Collins | 33c | 5,993$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.42 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Swiatek | 72c | 5,922$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.22 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Swiatek | 71c | 5,591$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Collins | 31c | 5,082$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.4 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Swiatek | 72c | 3,369$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.74 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Collins | 30c | 1,586$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.61 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Collins | 30c | 1,500$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.79 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Swiatek | 68c | 985.73$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.43 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Swiatek | 71c | 802.7$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Swiatek | 67c | 579$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.03 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Swiatek | 70c | 510.47$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Swiatek | 78c | 509.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…1709backed Swiatek | 70c | 430$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Collins | 28c | 399.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Collins | 5c | 360$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Collins | 25c | 355.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Swiatek | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Swiatek | 67c | 333.33$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Collins | 30c | 328.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Collins | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Collins | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Collins | 34c | 295.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Collins | 30c | 261.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Swiatek | 70c | 249.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Swiatek | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9c…0fe6backed Swiatek | 72c | 199.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Collins | 31c | 101.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Collins | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Swiatek | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Swiatek | 72c | 88.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Collins | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Swiatek | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…f32fbacked Swiatek | 72c | 69.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Swiatek | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Collins | 31c | 67.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…d131backed Swiatek | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…c212backed Swiatek | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…4b32backed Swiatek | 69c | 48.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Collins | 31c | 48.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Collins | 30c | 39.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Swiatek | 69c | 31.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Swiatek | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Swiatek | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Swiatek | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…d408backed Swiatek | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.