Champions League · resolved market
Will Flamengo beat Chelsea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36fe5ec514ca45d1e3d08878c95233c2285b3a74d599288437a1de93b5fcb08a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ab…13abbacked Yes | 28c | 10,069$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,247.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0200backed Yes | 28c | 8,270$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,983.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 73c | 6,653$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.9 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 5,500$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 5,124$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.63 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 72c | 4,243$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.63 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 33c | 3,971$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.79 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 72c | 3,519$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.79 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,083$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.42 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 25c | 2,837$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 27c | 2,705$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.14 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 31c | 2,461$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.73 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 2,075$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.38 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.24 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 70c | 1,462$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.42 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 72c | 1,379$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.73 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 57c | 1,295$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.16 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 75c | 1,275$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 73c | 1,145$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.55 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 776.54$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.92 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae55…41c0backed Yes | 13c | 750.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 25c | 749.96$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.15 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Yes | 26c | 501.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 27c | 500$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.35 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 77c | 436.36$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.36 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…3a87backed Yes | 27c | 365.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 353.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.97 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 73c | 275.76$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 274$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 73c | 249.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 73c | 249.04$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…d8bfbacked Yes | 12c | 209.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 69c | 195.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 171.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.02 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 21c | 167.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.87 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 76c | 152.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 74c | 149.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x003a…950ebacked No | 74c | 145.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…52bfbacked Yes | 31c | 139.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed Yes | 27c | 122.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 27c | 111.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Yes | 12c | 96.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 28c | 65.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…fcb3backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Yes | 26c | 56.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…fd71backed Yes | 20c | 54.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +398.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 26c | 53.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed No | 26c | 53.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 73c | 48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…efdcbacked Yes | 65c | 47.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 51c | 46.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 74c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…d5bbbacked Yes | 52c | 21.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e125backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf49b…b2e5backed Yes | 74c | 13.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 75c | 13.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Flamengo beat Chelsea?this page
- Will Chelsea beat Flamengo?No won
- Will Flamengo vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.