Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea beat Flamengo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51ecb20f7b9fb366400c52c88bdf9870616c91a524bec92e1c9aeb4cd5a4cf3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 54c | 46,747$25,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,706.13 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 48c | 20,221$9,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,621.37 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 46c | 13,363$6,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,146.95 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 46c | 11,000$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 55c | 9,061$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,077.24 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 56c | 8,838$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.45 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 47c | 8,368$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.98 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 56c | 7,369$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.52 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 45c | 7,059$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.97 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 56c | 4,781$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 45c | 4,260$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.92 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 43c | 4,117$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.31 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 45c | 3,601$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 44c | 3,270$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.8 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 41c | 2,800$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 33c | 2,671$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.35 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…a19ebacked Yes | 51c | 2,587$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 45c | 2,287$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.56 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 70c | 2,153$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 47c | 1,997$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.45 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed Yes | 51c | 1,860$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Yes | 47c | 1,750$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.5 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…73eabacked Yes | 46c | 1,562$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 43c | 1,480$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.8 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 51c | 1,380$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.44 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d5…54c7backed Yes | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 44c | 1,229$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 44c | 1,078$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.32 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…7601backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed No | 57c | 1,000$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.86 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…8c08backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…2583backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3a…236cbacked Yes | 52c | 905$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 56c | 898.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3111…7eddbacked No | 48c | 730$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 42c | 664.25$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 44c | 599.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.99 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 56c | 531.39$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.81 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Yes | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 20c | 461.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Yes | 52c | 451.59$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked No | 57c | 439.94$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Yes | 47c | 414.51$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 63c | 390.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe75…baa9backed Yes | 50c | 388.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…a3adbacked Yes | 59c | 376.46$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…b5babacked Yes | 52c | 365$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1b…4112backed Yes | 52c | 365$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 43c | 350.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 57c | 334$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 49c | 333.52$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 55c | 325.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 65c | 320.48$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…4a10backed Yes | 56c | 314$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…b128backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…7aadbacked Yes | 52c | 285$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…4f6ebacked Yes | 52c | 285$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 62c | 260.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed No | 49c | 250.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…f1f8backed Yes | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…bacfbacked Yes | 45c | 232.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…f91bbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Yes | 54c | 215.91$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 48c | 206$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…5758backed Yes | 52c | 205$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…508ebacked Yes | 52c | 205$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…1d68backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…4c8bbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…a661backed Yes | 45c | 192.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -84%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcace…f2f6backed Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…fcb3backed Yes | 53c | 178$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49b…b2e5backed Yes | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…08b4backed Yes | 48c | 165.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…4e4dbacked No | 48c | 165$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Yes | 64c | 157.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a012backed Yes | 52c | 145$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…bd97backed Yes | 52c | 145$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 144$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 44c | 139$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 47c | 123.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 52c | 121.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…3702backed Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…1703backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed No | 55c | 109.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 56c | 109.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c2…cd78backed Yes | 44c | 108.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 53c | 104.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed No | 49c | 100.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea beat Flamengo?this page
- Will Flamengo beat Chelsea?Yes won
- Will Flamengo vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.