TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5d5…54c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.68
League of Legends: DRX vs. Dplus KIAbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+49.1%+$1,779.71
League of Legends: AG.AL vs. Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,503Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,812.31
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.36
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+136.7%+$896.5
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.75
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$428.18
MSI Playoffs: G2 Esports vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+73.1%+$351.33
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Flying Oysterbacked Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.13
MSI Playoffs: Anyone's Legend vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$339.08
Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+242.2%+$482.67
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$690
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$540
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,717.8
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,258
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$577.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$1,621.87
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wydad AC beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.32
Will Chelsea beat Flamengo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.99
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea qualify for the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+67.7%+$697.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.