TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$253,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,098 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes23c12,877$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.941127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-57.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes5c12,626$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.6625842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09bf…10d4backed Yes23c10,697$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Yes25c8,504$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0954346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No77c6,945$5,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.8416357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6e9…831abacked Yes16c6,014$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.63336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes17c5,805$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.721910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdec3…ebc5backed Yes3c5,050$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.18190%0 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes23c4,625$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.898654.7%47 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked No77c4,528$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes7c4,521$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a40…e67cbacked Yes27c4,464$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes12c4,266$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.114332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes14c4,250$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.483724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Yes7c4,241$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.992810.7%3 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-80.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes1c4,063$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9523355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes4c3,976$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4112328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No66c3,810$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.1110348.5%50 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes20c3,686$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7403839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes30c3,287$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.431,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No68c3,053$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.49875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…1330backed Yes20c3,023$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.35650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c2,972$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.61,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed Yes32c2,943$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.336842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked Yes34c2,816$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94531758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes19c2,572$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.5538037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe4…a0b3backed No78c2,552$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No78c2,506$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.6681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes12c2,469$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.2313532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c2d…d956backed Yes23c2,155$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.893040%12 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Yes24c2,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes11c2,008$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.922025%5 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1853…cdf7backed Yes48c1,849$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9917…1b30backed Yes20c1,801$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes3c1,780$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.28326.5%22 W · 61 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…50e2backed Yes23c1,712$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.651241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No77c1,646$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.4845848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…994dbacked Yes32c1,568$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41dc…9c3dbacked Yes9c1,516$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.815330.2%16 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes20c1,500$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5714239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…7f58backed Yes20c1,450$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.123531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Yes6c1,449$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4511630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…4275backed Yes2c1,378$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.684351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c6…21bfbacked No78c1,287$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes7c1,220$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.996144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0e…64f7backed Yes22c1,166$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3760%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes19c1,103$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a6f…4999backed Yes53c1,099$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.64862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Yes24c1,072$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.282740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeba7…fea3backed Yes3c1,067$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.221421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes7c1,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6824935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked Yes9c998.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e4…5883backed Yes3c980$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.07714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes2c932.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.991,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5d…85dbbacked Yes55c894.95$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2d…6ae3backed Yes20c888.42$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.482540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Yes23c861.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.718629.1%25 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes24c824.44$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6964552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eae…5309backed Yes13c809.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93e9…89f6backed Yes15c789$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95a…82c1backed Yes3c770.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Yes27c769.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2611044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed Yes3c743.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes6c737.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.48120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f78…68a4backed Yes24c710$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.07854.7%4 W · 81 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-84.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes8c700$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566229%18 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d1…6da1backed Yes16c688.59$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Yes24c668.53$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.15455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4343…3be2backed Yes7c624.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd57…141cbacked Yes8c614.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x649c…d778backed Yes23c609.01$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf2…a34fbacked No77c551.97$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.583100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe446…b2b2backed Yes20c547.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc84…54fcbacked Yes8c534.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes8c499.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Yes25c450$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.56248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes25c447.02$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked No78c434.54$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.527552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ff…aff2backed Yes23c433.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c432.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6729547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a44…a45abacked Yes22c420$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x619a…02b6backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1f…ed91backed Yes23c413.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…ffb8backed Yes29c399.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.611646.6%54 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes23c399.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No73c397.42$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9424943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9174…cfabbacked Yes41c392$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdb…b83ebacked Yes40c378$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f8…ffe4backed Yes27c368.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ecb…8213backed Yes31c358.04$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Yes5c354.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173020%6 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes21c354$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3713740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.91855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Yes22c350$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0542057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Yes28c338.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.368330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed No77c338.01$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3926563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Yes38c335.87$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1277732.5%25 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Yes46c327.07$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.68055%44 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes25c317.02$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.221645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd563…f07dbacked Yes35c303.72$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.