CS2 · resolved market
Will FaZe win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae5253326656e321dafe4232a04a5aa622b3e5133745b49dfcf88ea98a54aa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Yes | 7c | 15,744$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.95 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…5761backed Yes | 7c | 5,916$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 14c | 5,060$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 17c | 3,600$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 1,970$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.61 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 10c | 1,839$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 15c | 1,589$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,559$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Yes | 12c | 1,510$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.72 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 9c | 1,212$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…c871backed Yes | 10c | 1,100$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 18c | 1,097$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…5ec0backed Yes | 12c | 1,042$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…59b9backed Yes | 14c | 1,023$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…cf2cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes | 18c | 930.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 7c | 919$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 22c | 851.51$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 17c | 678.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…b068backed Yes | 19c | 678.16$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…1ad5backed Yes | 14c | 628.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 10c | 601.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…3653backed Yes | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9059…1496backed Yes | 17c | 570$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 14c | 470$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…dad1backed Yes | 11c | 458.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 19c | 452$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…24bcbacked Yes | 14c | 437.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…b2eabacked Yes | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Yes | 13c | 394.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Yes | 13c | 387.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…8020backed Yes | 14c | 384.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 383$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…fdfcbacked Yes | 12c | 375.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…4e48backed Yes | 19c | 360$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 11c | 342.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…d2a9backed Yes | 15c | 306$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Yes | 17c | 285.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…9c3dbacked Yes | 8c | 275.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…849dbacked Yes | 12c | 267.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Yes | 7c | 225.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9de…0dc5backed Yes | 18c | 223.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…cc7ebacked Yes | 13c | 222$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…783cbacked Yes | 11c | 221.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…b9b1backed Yes | 12c | 200.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed Yes | 10c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 9c | 199.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 9c | 199.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1081…6ad3backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…9ebcbacked Yes | 12c | 163.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…825bbacked Yes | 14c | 159.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Yes | 7c | 155$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc3…bdfcbacked Yes | 11c | 154.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…778cbacked Yes | 13c | 139.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…f663backed Yes | 18c | 111.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0e…9607backed Yes | 21c | 105.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…37b8backed Yes | 19c | 105.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc3…b9f6backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…e7e1backed Yes | 12c | 93.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…e19abacked Yes | 17c | 63.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…8c1fbacked Yes | 20c | 53.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FaZe win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?this page
- Will 3DMAX win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will Aurora win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will FURIA win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will Falcons win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will Legacy win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will Liquid win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will Lynn Vision win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will MOUZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will Spirit win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will Virtus.pro win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
- Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentYes won
- Will paiN win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.