TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Legacy win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,838 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,017$15 inLost-$15.0340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes1c4,281$28 inLost-$28.38120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,698$33 inLost-$33.151,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562e…966ebacked Yes1c2,990$44 inLost-$44.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee83…d9dfbacked Yes0c2,936$14 inLost-$14.07633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes1c2,000$25 inLost-$24.8316033.8%54 W · 106 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes1c1,479$19 inLost-$18.591910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes2c1,050$17 inLost-$17.52030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41dc…9c3dbacked Yes2c809.85$19 inLost-$19.325330.2%16 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5678…4342backed Yes4c758.06$27 inLost-$26.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17fc…82a3backed Yes3c634.85$20 inLost-$20.13560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0270…1a44backed Yes8c523.17$40 inLost-$40.271118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes6c521.37$30 inLost-$30.343743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d0…9d21backed Yes3c442.36$14 inLost-$13.711040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes5c365.85$18 inLost-$18.456229%18 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc86b…c364backed Yes4c284$11 inLost-$10.552934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.